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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]-->\r\n</head>\r\n\r\n<body lang=EN-US style=\'tab-interval:.5in\'>\r\n\r\n<div class=WordSection1>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal align=center style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;\r\ntext-align:center;line-height:normal\'><b><span style=\'font-size:12.0pt;\r\nfont-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>How Can Domestic Transportation Capacity Be\r\nSo Tight <o:p></o:p></span></b></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal align=center style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;\r\ntext-align:center;line-height:normal\'><span class=GramE><b><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>While The Economy Is\r\nSluggish?</span></b></span><b><span style=\'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p></o:p></span></b></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal align=center style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;\r\ntext-align:center;line-height:normal\'><b><span style=\'font-size:12.0pt;\r\nfont-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal align=center style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;\r\ntext-align:center;line-height:normal\'><span style=\'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\r\n\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";mso-bidi-font-weight:bold\'>By Scott J. McDevitt, TLI\r\nFounder &amp; CEO</span><span style=\'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal\'><span style=\'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal\'><span style=\'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>From\r\nindustry events to client visits, one question keeps popping up: &nbsp;“Why do\r\nwe keep hearing about capacity being so tight while the economy is so\r\nsoft?”&nbsp; I’ve been in this industry for over 23 years including three\r\nrecessions and an incredible run in the 90’s and early/mid 2000’s.&nbsp; It was\r\nalways the case that when the economy was doing great, transportation was doing\r\ngreat.&nbsp; When the economy was slowing down or stopped, so, too, was the\r\ntransportation industry.&nbsp; Now, transportation is doing great while the\r\neconomy has stalled.&nbsp; <i>Why…?</i><b><o:p></o:p></b></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal\'><b><span style=\'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal\'><b><span style=\'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>Let’s\r\nfirst&nbsp;look at the numbers:<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal\'><b><span style=\'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></b></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst style=\'text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1\'><![if !supportLists]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";\r\nmso-fareast-font-family:Arial\'><span style=\'mso-list:Ignore\'>1)<span\r\nstyle=\'font:7.0pt \"Times New Roman\"\'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><![endif]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>Freight\r\nTSI (Transportation Services Index) - a seasonally adjusted index measuring\r\nton-miles carried by for-hire trucking, rail, inland waterways, pipelines, and\r\nair freight carriers.&nbsp; Released by the Transportation Department<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle style=\'margin-left:1.0in;mso-add-space:\r\nauto;text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level2 lfo1\'><![if !supportLists]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";\r\nmso-fareast-font-family:Arial\'><span style=\'mso-list:Ignore\'>a.<span\r\nstyle=\'font:7.0pt \"Times New Roman\"\'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><![endif]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>June-\r\n108.3&nbsp; July- 108.3&nbsp; August – 108.7<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle style=\'margin-left:1.0in;mso-add-space:\r\nauto;text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level2 lfo1\'><![if !supportLists]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";\r\nmso-fareast-font-family:Arial\'><span style=\'mso-list:Ignore\'>b.<span\r\nstyle=\'font:7.0pt \"Times New Roman\"\'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><![endif]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>The\r\nhighest reading since July of 2008<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast style=\'margin-left:1.0in;mso-add-space:auto;\r\ntext-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level2 lfo1\'><![if !supportLists]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";\r\nmso-fareast-font-family:Arial\'><span style=\'mso-list:Ignore\'>c.<span\r\nstyle=\'font:7.0pt \"Times New Roman\"\'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><![endif]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>Peak\r\nwas 113.3 January of 2005<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-top:0in;margin-right:0in;margin-bottom:0in;\r\nmargin-left:.75in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:normal\'><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst style=\'text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1\'><![if !supportLists]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";\r\nmso-fareast-font-family:Arial\'><span style=\'mso-list:Ignore\'>2)<span\r\nstyle=\'font:7.0pt \"Times New Roman\"\'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><![endif]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>Truck\r\nTonnage- (Year 2000 is baseline of 100)<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle style=\'margin-left:1.0in;mso-add-space:\r\nauto;text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level2 lfo1\'><![if !supportLists]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";\r\nmso-fareast-font-family:Arial\'><span style=\'mso-list:Ignore\'>a.<span\r\nstyle=\'font:7.0pt \"Times New Roman\"\'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><![endif]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>The\r\nATA’s not seasonally-adjusted (NSA) index, which represents the change in\r\ntonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, was at 123.8\r\nin August, well ahead of July’s 111 and in line with June’s 122.3. The August\r\n2010 NSA index was 113.5, putting the August 2011 NSA up by 9.4 percent.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle style=\'margin-left:1.0in;mso-add-space:\r\nauto;text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level2 lfo1\'><![if !supportLists]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";\r\nmso-fareast-font-family:Arial\'><span style=\'mso-list:Ignore\'>b.<span\r\nstyle=\'font:7.0pt \"Times New Roman\"\'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><![endif]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>September-\r\nThe not seasonally adjusted index, which measures actual tonnage slipped 3.1%\r\nto a reading of 119.5.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle style=\'margin-left:1.0in;mso-add-space:\r\nauto\'><span style=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle style=\'text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1\'><![if !supportLists]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";\r\nmso-fareast-font-family:Arial\'><span style=\'mso-list:Ignore\'>3)<span\r\nstyle=\'font:7.0pt \"Times New Roman\"\'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><![endif]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>September\r\nPurchasing Managers Index- (over 50 is growing)<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle style=\'margin-left:1.0in;mso-add-space:\r\nauto;text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level2 lfo1\'><![if !supportLists]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";\r\nmso-fareast-font-family:Arial\'><span style=\'mso-list:Ignore\'>a.<span\r\nstyle=\'font:7.0pt \"Times New Roman\"\'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><![endif]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>PMI\r\n= 51.6 “Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September for\r\nthe 26th consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 28th\r\nconsecutive month.”&nbsp; Sluggish, but growing…<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle style=\'margin-left:1.0in;mso-add-space:\r\nauto;text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level2 lfo1\'><![if !supportLists]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";\r\nmso-fareast-font-family:Arial\'><span style=\'mso-list:Ignore\'>b.<span\r\nstyle=\'font:7.0pt \"Times New Roman\"\'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><![endif]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>Previous\r\nreport was 50.6, May 53.5, June 55.3, July 50.9<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle style=\'margin-left:1.0in;mso-add-space:\r\nauto\'><span style=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle style=\'text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1\'><![if !supportLists]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";\r\nmso-fareast-font-family:Arial\'><span style=\'mso-list:Ignore\'>4)<span\r\nstyle=\'font:7.0pt \"Times New Roman\"\'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><![endif]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>Consumer\r\nConfidence<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle style=\'margin-left:1.0in;mso-add-space:\r\nauto;text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level2 lfo1\'><![if !supportLists]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";\r\nmso-fareast-font-family:Arial\'><span style=\'mso-list:Ignore\'>a.<span\r\nstyle=\'font:7.0pt \"Times New Roman\"\'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><![endif]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>Declined\r\nsharply in August, remained essentially unchanged in September. The Index now\r\nstands at 45.4 (1985=100), up slightly from 45.2 in August. <o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle style=\'margin-left:1.0in;mso-add-space:\r\nauto;text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level2 lfo1\'><![if !supportLists]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";\r\nmso-fareast-font-family:Arial\'><span style=\'mso-list:Ignore\'>b.<span\r\nstyle=\'font:7.0pt \"Times New Roman\"\'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><![endif]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>Says\r\nLynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: “The\r\npessimism that shrouded consumers last month has spilled over into September.\r\nConsumer expectations, which had plummeted in August, posted a marginal gain.\r\nHowever, consumers expressed greater concern about their expected earnings, a\r\nsign that does not bode well for spending. In addition, consumers’ assessment\r\nof current conditions declined for the fifth consecutive month, a sign that the\r\neconomic environment remains weak.”<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle style=\'margin-left:1.0in;mso-add-space:\r\nauto\'><span style=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle style=\'text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1\'><![if !supportLists]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";\r\nmso-fareast-font-family:Arial\'><span style=\'mso-list:Ignore\'>5)<span\r\nstyle=\'font:7.0pt \"Times New Roman\"\'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><![endif]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>Compared\r\nto a year ago diesel prices are up .749 cents. $ 3.83/gallon as of 9/27/11.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle><span style=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:\r\n115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle style=\'text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1\'><![if !supportLists]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";\r\nmso-fareast-font-family:Arial\'><span style=\'mso-list:Ignore\'>6)<span\r\nstyle=\'font:7.0pt \"Times New Roman\"\'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><![endif]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>Cass\r\nIndex- Measures trends in North American shipping activity based on $17 billion\r\nin paid freight expenses of more than a hundred of America’s largest shippers<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle style=\'margin-left:1.0in;mso-add-space:\r\nauto;text-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level2 lfo1\'><![if !supportLists]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";\r\nmso-fareast-font-family:Arial\'><span style=\'mso-list:Ignore\'>a.<span\r\nstyle=\'font:7.0pt \"Times New Roman\"\'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><![endif]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>September\r\nshipments at 1.200 were up 5.0 percent compared to August.&nbsp; They were up\r\n7.5 percent compared to September 2010.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraphCxSpLast style=\'margin-left:1.0in;mso-add-space:auto;\r\ntext-indent:-.25in;mso-list:l0 level2 lfo1\'><![if !supportLists]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";\r\nmso-fareast-font-family:Arial\'><span style=\'mso-list:Ignore\'>b.<span\r\nstyle=\'font:7.0pt \"Times New Roman\"\'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><![endif]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>September\r\nexpenditures at 2.388 were up 4.6 percent compared to August and up 17.6\r\npercent compared to last year, which is roughly half of what annual\r\nexpenditures comparisons have been in previous months prior to August, which\r\nwas up 15.8 percent annually, with January through July averaging 30.9 percent\r\nannual increases for expenditures.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal><span style=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\r\n\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal><span style=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\r\n\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>After reading the various indexes, it is easy to conclude\r\nthat the economy looks to be doing better.&nbsp; However, <span class=SpellE>Cass’</span>\r\nconclusion is that “This however, does not suggest the beginning of a trend\r\ntowards more positive economic growth.&nbsp; There are still key factors\r\ninfluencing our economy: projected 2011 GDP of roughly 2% or less for the next\r\nyear; and stalled consumer confidence and consumer spending levels.”<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal><span style=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\r\n\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>Transport Capital Partners’ latest report stated, “<span\r\nclass=GramE>more</span> carrier executives aren’t as optimistic about the\r\neconomy rebounding and increasing rates.”&nbsp; Its third quarter survey of\r\nfleets’ business expectations shows declining confidence in business\r\nconditions: 45% expect volumes to rise from 80% in the second quarter.&nbsp; It\r\nwas 92% in the first quarter.”&nbsp; <o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal><span style=\'font-size:12.0pt;line-height:115%;font-family:\r\n\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>So how can we see positive indicators (sluggish but still\r\npositive) and hear reports weekly about how tight capacity is in the TL and LTL\r\ndomestic market while more carrier executives are saying they aren’t as\r\noptimistic about the economy rebounding?&nbsp; 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Priority=\"72\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful List Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"73\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Grid Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"60\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Shading Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"61\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light List Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"62\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Grid Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"63\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 1 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"64\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 2 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"65\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 1 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"66\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 2 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"67\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 1 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"68\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 2 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"69\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 3 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"70\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Dark List Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"71\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Shading Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"72\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful List Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"73\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Grid Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"60\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Shading Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"61\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light List Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"62\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Grid Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"63\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 1 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"64\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 2 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"65\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 1 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"66\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 2 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"67\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 1 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"68\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 2 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"69\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 3 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"70\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Dark List Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"71\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Shading Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"72\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful List Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"73\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Grid Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"60\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Shading Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"61\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light List Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"62\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Grid Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"63\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 1 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"64\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 2 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"65\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 1 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"66\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 2 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"67\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 1 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"68\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 2 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"69\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 3 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"70\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Dark List Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"71\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Shading Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"72\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful List Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"73\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Grid Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"60\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Shading Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"61\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light List Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"62\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Grid Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"63\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 1 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"64\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 2 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"65\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 1 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"66\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 2 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"67\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 1 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"68\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 2 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"69\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 3 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"70\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Dark List Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"71\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Shading Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"72\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful List Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"73\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Grid Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"19\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"Subtle Emphasis\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"21\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"Intense Emphasis\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"31\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"Subtle Reference\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"32\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"Intense Reference\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"33\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"Book Title\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"37\" Name=\"Bibliography\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"39\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"TOC Heading\"/>\r\n </w:LatentStyles>\r\n</xml><![endif]-->\r\n<style>\r\n<!--\r\n /* Font Definitions */\r\n @font-face\r\n	{font-family:Wingdings;\r\n	panose-1:5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0;\r\n	mso-font-charset:2;\r\n	mso-generic-font-family:auto;\r\n	mso-font-pitch:variable;\r\n	mso-font-signature:0 268435456 0 0 -2147483648 0;}\r\n@font-face\r\n	{font-family:Wingdings;\r\n	panose-1:5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0;\r\n	mso-font-charset:2;\r\n	mso-generic-font-family:auto;\r\n	mso-font-pitch:variable;\r\n	mso-font-signature:0 268435456 0 0 -2147483648 0;}\r\n@font-face\r\n	{font-family:Calibri;\r\n	panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4;\r\n	mso-font-charset:0;\r\n	mso-generic-font-family:swiss;\r\n	mso-font-pitch:variable;\r\n	mso-font-signature:-520092929 1073786111 9 0 415 0;}\r\n /* Style Definitions */\r\n p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal\r\n	{mso-style-unhide:no;\r\n	mso-style-qformat:yes;\r\n	mso-style-parent:\"\";\r\n	margin-top:0in;\r\n	margin-right:0in;\r\n	margin-bottom:10.0pt;\r\n	margin-left:0in;\r\n	line-height:115%;\r\n	mso-pagination:widow-orphan;\r\n	font-size:11.0pt;\r\n	font-family:\"Calibri\",\"sans-serif\";\r\n	mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-bidi-font-family:\"Times New Roman\";\r\n	mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;}\r\np.MsoListParagraph, li.MsoListParagraph, div.MsoListParagraph\r\n	{mso-style-priority:34;\r\n	mso-style-unhide:no;\r\n	mso-style-qformat:yes;\r\n	margin-top:0in;\r\n	margin-right:0in;\r\n	margin-bottom:10.0pt;\r\n	margin-left:.5in;\r\n	mso-add-space:auto;\r\n	line-height:115%;\r\n	mso-pagination:widow-orphan;\r\n	font-size:11.0pt;\r\n	font-family:\"Calibri\",\"sans-serif\";\r\n	mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-bidi-font-family:\"Times New Roman\";\r\n	mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;}\r\np.MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst, li.MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst, div.MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst\r\n	{mso-style-priority:34;\r\n	mso-style-unhide:no;\r\n	mso-style-qformat:yes;\r\n	mso-style-type:export-only;\r\n	margin-top:0in;\r\n	margin-right:0in;\r\n	margin-bottom:0in;\r\n	margin-left:.5in;\r\n	margin-bottom:.0001pt;\r\n	mso-add-space:auto;\r\n	line-height:115%;\r\n	mso-pagination:widow-orphan;\r\n	font-size:11.0pt;\r\n	font-family:\"Calibri\",\"sans-serif\";\r\n	mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-bidi-font-family:\"Times New Roman\";\r\n	mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;}\r\np.MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle, li.MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle, div.MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle\r\n	{mso-style-priority:34;\r\n	mso-style-unhide:no;\r\n	mso-style-qformat:yes;\r\n	mso-style-type:export-only;\r\n	margin-top:0in;\r\n	margin-right:0in;\r\n	margin-bottom:0in;\r\n	margin-left:.5in;\r\n	margin-bottom:.0001pt;\r\n	mso-add-space:auto;\r\n	line-height:115%;\r\n	mso-pagination:widow-orphan;\r\n	font-size:11.0pt;\r\n	font-family:\"Calibri\",\"sans-serif\";\r\n	mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-bidi-font-family:\"Times New Roman\";\r\n	mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;}\r\np.MsoListParagraphCxSpLast, li.MsoListParagraphCxSpLast, div.MsoListParagraphCxSpLast\r\n	{mso-style-priority:34;\r\n	mso-style-unhide:no;\r\n	mso-style-qformat:yes;\r\n	mso-style-type:export-only;\r\n	margin-top:0in;\r\n	margin-right:0in;\r\n	margin-bottom:10.0pt;\r\n	margin-left:.5in;\r\n	mso-add-space:auto;\r\n	line-height:115%;\r\n	mso-pagination:widow-orphan;\r\n	font-size:11.0pt;\r\n	font-family:\"Calibri\",\"sans-serif\";\r\n	mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-bidi-font-family:\"Times New Roman\";\r\n	mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;}\r\n.MsoChpDefault\r\n	{mso-style-type:export-only;\r\n	mso-default-props:yes;\r\n	font-family:\"Calibri\",\"sans-serif\";\r\n	mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-bidi-font-family:\"Times New Roman\";\r\n	mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;}\r\n.MsoPapDefault\r\n	{mso-style-type:export-only;\r\n	margin-bottom:10.0pt;\r\n	line-height:115%;}\r\n@page WordSection1\r\n	{size:8.5in 11.0in;\r\n	margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in;\r\n	mso-header-margin:.5in;\r\n	mso-footer-margin:.5in;\r\n	mso-paper-source:0;}\r\ndiv.WordSection1\r\n	{page:WordSection1;}\r\n /* List Definitions */\r\n @list l0\r\n	{mso-list-id:1459646210;\r\n	mso-list-type:hybrid;\r\n	mso-list-template-ids:-1110413884 1937644032 67698691 67698693 67698689 67698691 67698693 67698689 67698691 67698693;}\r\n@list l0:level1\r\n	{mso-level-start-at:0;\r\n	mso-level-number-format:bullet;\r\n	mso-level-text:-;\r\n	mso-level-tab-stop:none;\r\n	mso-level-number-position:left;\r\n	text-indent:-.25in;\r\n	font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";\r\n	mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin;}\r\n@list l0:level2\r\n	{mso-level-number-format:bullet;\r\n	mso-level-text:o;\r\n	mso-level-tab-stop:none;\r\n	mso-level-number-position:left;\r\n	text-indent:-.25in;\r\n	font-family:\"Courier New\";}\r\n@list l0:level3\r\n	{mso-level-number-format:bullet;\r\n	mso-level-text:\\F0A7;\r\n	mso-level-tab-stop:none;\r\n	mso-level-number-position:left;\r\n	text-indent:-.25in;\r\n	font-family:Wingdings;}\r\n@list l0:level4\r\n	{mso-level-number-format:bullet;\r\n	mso-level-text:\\F0B7;\r\n	mso-level-tab-stop:none;\r\n	mso-level-number-position:left;\r\n	text-indent:-.25in;\r\n	font-family:Symbol;}\r\n@list l0:level5\r\n	{mso-level-number-format:bullet;\r\n	mso-level-text:o;\r\n	mso-level-tab-stop:none;\r\n	mso-level-number-position:left;\r\n	text-indent:-.25in;\r\n	font-family:\"Courier New\";}\r\n@list l0:level6\r\n	{mso-level-number-format:bullet;\r\n	mso-level-text:\\F0A7;\r\n	mso-level-tab-stop:none;\r\n	mso-level-number-position:left;\r\n	text-indent:-.25in;\r\n	font-family:Wingdings;}\r\n@list l0:level7\r\n	{mso-level-number-format:bullet;\r\n	mso-level-text:\\F0B7;\r\n	mso-level-tab-stop:none;\r\n	mso-level-number-position:left;\r\n	text-indent:-.25in;\r\n	font-family:Symbol;}\r\n@list l0:level8\r\n	{mso-level-number-format:bullet;\r\n	mso-level-text:o;\r\n	mso-level-tab-stop:none;\r\n	mso-level-number-position:left;\r\n	text-indent:-.25in;\r\n	font-family:\"Courier New\";}\r\n@list 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5.4pt;\r\n	mso-para-margin-top:0in;\r\n	mso-para-margin-right:0in;\r\n	mso-para-margin-bottom:10.0pt;\r\n	mso-para-margin-left:0in;\r\n	line-height:115%;\r\n	mso-pagination:widow-orphan;\r\n	font-size:11.0pt;\r\n	font-family:\"Calibri\",\"sans-serif\";\r\n	mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-bidi-font-family:\"Times New Roman\";\r\n	mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;}\r\n</style>\r\n<![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>\r\n <o:shapedefaults v:ext=\"edit\" spidmax=\"1026\"/>\r\n</xml><![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>\r\n <o:shapelayout v:ext=\"edit\">\r\n  <o:idmap v:ext=\"edit\" data=\"1\"/>\r\n </o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]-->\r\n</head>\r\n\r\n<body lang=EN-US style=\'tab-interval:.5in\'>\r\n\r\n<div class=WordSection1>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><b><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:16.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>Manufacturing Jobs to\r\nShift from China to US, Report Says<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>A big shift of manufacturing from\r\nChina to the U.S. and other parts of North America will create up to 3 million\r\nU.S. jobs in coming years, says a study from Boston Consulting Group.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>The report says labor costs in China\r\nare rising so fast, while U.S. productivity continues to climb, that the cost\r\nadvantage of sourcing many types of goods production in China is rapidly\r\nshrinking.<span style=\'mso-spacerun:yes\'>  </span>“Factor in shipping,\r\ninventory costs and other considerations,” and for many types of goods “the\r\ncost gap between sourcing in China and manufacturing in the U.S. will be\r\nminimal,” according to the report.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>The report, titled “Made in America,\r\nAgain,” cites various examples of companies already shifting work back to the U.S.\r\nand says that process will quickly speed up.<span style=\'mso-spacerun:yes\'> \r\n</span>The move of jobs and production back to this country is often called\r\n“re-shoring,” and some organizations are promoting policies to spur greater\r\nreturns of factory jobs from overseas.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>In just five years, BCG said, “the\r\ntotal cost of production for many products will be only about 10 to 15 percent\r\nless in Chinese coastal cities than in some parts of the U.S. where factories\r\nare likely to be built,” before counting shipping costs.<span\r\nstyle=\'mso-spacerun:yes\'>  </span>But the report said ocean shipping rates have\r\nrisen in recent years, mainly because of spiking bunker fuel prices since the\r\ndepths of the recession in 2009, while a shortage of container port capacity\r\nprojected in 2015 and a falloff in shipbuilding could push rates higher.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>The authors said the steady\r\nappreciation of China’s currency against the U.S. dollar is another factor raising\r\nthe cost of goods made there, while trade disputes continue over many products\r\nmade in China and the ocean supply chain is subject to threat of disruptions.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>BCG said several southern U.S. states\r\n“will turn out to be among the least expensive production sites in the\r\nindustrialized world.” Mexico is also getting some of the output shifting from\r\nChina, and can deliver goods into the U.S. in one or two days compared with 21\r\nby ocean. But BCG officials said Mexico would not benefit as much as some\r\nexpect because U.S. expertise in many goods would draw the work back here\r\ninstead.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>The group said industries most likely\r\nto see a production shift back to the U.S. are transportation goods, electrical\r\nequipment and appliances, furniture, plastics and rubber products, machinery,\r\nfabricated metal products, and electronics. “Together, these seven industry\r\ngroups could add $100 billion in output to the<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>U.S. economy and lower the U.S.\r\nnon-oil trade deficit by 20 to 35 percent,” BCG said.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>BCG is an international business\r\nmanagement advisory firm with offices in 42 countries.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraph align=right style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:\r\n.0001pt;mso-add-space:auto;text-align:right;text-indent:-.25in;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><![if !supportLists]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";mso-fareast-font-family:\r\nArial\'><span style=\'mso-list:Ignore\'>-<span style=\'font:7.0pt \"Times New Roman\"\'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;\r\n</span></span></span><![endif]><span style=\'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>Journal\r\nof Commerce Online, 10/7/2011<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n</div>\r\n\r\n</body>\r\n\r\n</html>\r\n\";s:5:\"#rows\";i:20;s:9:\"#required\";b:0;}s:6:\"format\";a:10:{s:5:\"#type\";s:8:\"fieldset\";s:6:\"#title\";s:12:\"Input format\";s:12:\"#collapsible\";b:1;s:10:\"#collapsed\";b:1;s:7:\"#weight\";N;s:17:\"#element_validate\";a:1:{i:0;s:20:\"filter_form_validate\";}i:1;a:7:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"radio\";s:6:\"#title\";s:13:\"Filtered HTML\";s:14:\"#default_value\";s:1:\"3\";s:13:\"#return_value\";s:1:\"1\";s:8:\"#parents\";a:1:{i:0;s:6:\"format\";}s:12:\"#description\";s:306:\"<ul class=\"tips\"><li>Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.</li><li>Allowed HTML tags: &lt;a&gt; &lt;em&gt; &lt;strong&gt; &lt;cite&gt; &lt;code&gt; &lt;ul&gt; &lt;ol&gt; &lt;li&gt; &lt;dl&gt; &lt;dt&gt; &lt;dd&gt;</li><li>Lines and paragraphs break automatically.</li></ul>\";s:3:\"#id\";s:13:\"edit-format-1\";}i:2;a:7:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"radio\";s:6:\"#title\";s:9:\"Full HTML\";s:14:\"#default_value\";s:1:\"3\";s:13:\"#return_value\";s:1:\"2\";s:8:\"#parents\";a:1:{i:0;s:6:\"format\";}s:12:\"#description\";s:151:\"<ul class=\"tips\"><li>Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.</li><li>Lines and paragraphs break automatically.</li></ul>\";s:3:\"#id\";s:13:\"edit-format-2\";}i:3;a:7:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"radio\";s:6:\"#title\";s:8:\"PHP code\";s:14:\"#default_value\";s:1:\"3\";s:13:\"#return_value\";s:1:\"3\";s:8:\"#parents\";a:1:{i:0;s:6:\"format\";}s:12:\"#description\";s:93:\"<ul class=\"tips\"><li>You may post PHP code. 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Name=\"Medium Shading 1 Accent 1\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"64\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 2 Accent 1\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"65\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 1 Accent 1\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Revision\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"34\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"List Paragraph\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"29\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"Quote\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"30\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"Intense Quote\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"66\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 2 Accent 1\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"67\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 1 Accent 1\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"68\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 2 Accent 1\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"69\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 3 Accent 1\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"70\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Dark List Accent 1\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"71\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Shading Accent 1\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"72\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful List Accent 1\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"73\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Grid Accent 1\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"60\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Shading Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"61\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light List Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"62\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Grid Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"63\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 1 Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"64\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 2 Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"65\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 1 Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"66\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 2 Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"67\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 1 Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"68\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 2 Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"69\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 3 Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"70\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Dark List Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"71\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Shading Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"72\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful List Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"73\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Grid Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"60\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Shading Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"61\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light List Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"62\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Grid Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"63\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 1 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"64\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 2 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"65\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 1 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"66\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 2 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"67\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 1 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"68\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 2 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"69\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 3 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"70\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Dark List Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"71\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Shading Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"72\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful List Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"73\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Grid Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"60\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Shading Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"61\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light List Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"62\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Grid Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"63\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 1 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"64\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 2 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"65\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 1 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"66\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 2 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"67\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 1 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"68\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 2 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"69\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 3 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"70\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Dark List Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"71\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Shading Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"72\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful List Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"73\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Grid Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"60\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Shading Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"61\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light List Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"62\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Grid Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"63\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 1 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"64\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 2 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"65\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 1 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"66\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 2 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"67\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 1 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"68\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 2 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"69\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 3 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"70\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Dark List Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"71\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Shading Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"72\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful List Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"73\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Grid Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"60\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Shading Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"61\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light List Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"62\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Grid Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"63\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 1 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"64\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 2 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"65\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 1 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"66\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 2 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"67\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 1 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"68\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 2 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"69\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 3 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"70\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Dark List Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"71\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Shading Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"72\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful List Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"73\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Grid Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"19\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"Subtle Emphasis\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"21\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"Intense Emphasis\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"31\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"Subtle Reference\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"32\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"Intense Reference\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"33\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"Book Title\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"37\" Name=\"Bibliography\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"39\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"TOC Heading\"/>\r\n </w:LatentStyles>\r\n</xml><![endif]-->\r\n<style>\r\n<!--\r\n /* Font Definitions */\r\n @font-face\r\n	{font-family:Wingdings;\r\n	panose-1:5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0;\r\n	mso-font-charset:2;\r\n	mso-generic-font-family:auto;\r\n	mso-font-pitch:variable;\r\n	mso-font-signature:0 268435456 0 0 -2147483648 0;}\r\n@font-face\r\n	{font-family:Wingdings;\r\n	panose-1:5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0;\r\n	mso-font-charset:2;\r\n	mso-generic-font-family:auto;\r\n	mso-font-pitch:variable;\r\n	mso-font-signature:0 268435456 0 0 -2147483648 0;}\r\n@font-face\r\n	{font-family:Calibri;\r\n	panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4;\r\n	mso-font-charset:0;\r\n	mso-generic-font-family:swiss;\r\n	mso-font-pitch:variable;\r\n	mso-font-signature:-520092929 1073786111 9 0 415 0;}\r\n /* Style Definitions */\r\n p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal\r\n	{mso-style-unhide:no;\r\n	mso-style-qformat:yes;\r\n	mso-style-parent:\"\";\r\n	margin-top:0in;\r\n	margin-right:0in;\r\n	margin-bottom:10.0pt;\r\n	margin-left:0in;\r\n	line-height:115%;\r\n	mso-pagination:widow-orphan;\r\n	font-size:11.0pt;\r\n	font-family:\"Calibri\",\"sans-serif\";\r\n	mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-bidi-font-family:\"Times New Roman\";\r\n	mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;}\r\np.MsoListParagraph, li.MsoListParagraph, div.MsoListParagraph\r\n	{mso-style-priority:34;\r\n	mso-style-unhide:no;\r\n	mso-style-qformat:yes;\r\n	margin-top:0in;\r\n	margin-right:0in;\r\n	margin-bottom:10.0pt;\r\n	margin-left:.5in;\r\n	mso-add-space:auto;\r\n	line-height:115%;\r\n	mso-pagination:widow-orphan;\r\n	font-size:11.0pt;\r\n	font-family:\"Calibri\",\"sans-serif\";\r\n	mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-bidi-font-family:\"Times New Roman\";\r\n	mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;}\r\np.MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst, li.MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst, div.MsoListParagraphCxSpFirst\r\n	{mso-style-priority:34;\r\n	mso-style-unhide:no;\r\n	mso-style-qformat:yes;\r\n	mso-style-type:export-only;\r\n	margin-top:0in;\r\n	margin-right:0in;\r\n	margin-bottom:0in;\r\n	margin-left:.5in;\r\n	margin-bottom:.0001pt;\r\n	mso-add-space:auto;\r\n	line-height:115%;\r\n	mso-pagination:widow-orphan;\r\n	font-size:11.0pt;\r\n	font-family:\"Calibri\",\"sans-serif\";\r\n	mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-bidi-font-family:\"Times New Roman\";\r\n	mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;}\r\np.MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle, li.MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle, div.MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle\r\n	{mso-style-priority:34;\r\n	mso-style-unhide:no;\r\n	mso-style-qformat:yes;\r\n	mso-style-type:export-only;\r\n	margin-top:0in;\r\n	margin-right:0in;\r\n	margin-bottom:0in;\r\n	margin-left:.5in;\r\n	margin-bottom:.0001pt;\r\n	mso-add-space:auto;\r\n	line-height:115%;\r\n	mso-pagination:widow-orphan;\r\n	font-size:11.0pt;\r\n	font-family:\"Calibri\",\"sans-serif\";\r\n	mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-bidi-font-family:\"Times New Roman\";\r\n	mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;}\r\np.MsoListParagraphCxSpLast, li.MsoListParagraphCxSpLast, div.MsoListParagraphCxSpLast\r\n	{mso-style-priority:34;\r\n	mso-style-unhide:no;\r\n	mso-style-qformat:yes;\r\n	mso-style-type:export-only;\r\n	margin-top:0in;\r\n	margin-right:0in;\r\n	margin-bottom:10.0pt;\r\n	margin-left:.5in;\r\n	mso-add-space:auto;\r\n	line-height:115%;\r\n	mso-pagination:widow-orphan;\r\n	font-size:11.0pt;\r\n	font-family:\"Calibri\",\"sans-serif\";\r\n	mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-bidi-font-family:\"Times New 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style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><b><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:16.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>Manufacturing Jobs to\r\nShift from China to US, Report Says<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>A big shift of manufacturing from\r\nChina to the U.S. and other parts of North America will create up to 3 million\r\nU.S. jobs in coming years, says a study from Boston Consulting Group.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>The report says labor costs in China\r\nare rising so fast, while U.S. productivity continues to climb, that the cost\r\nadvantage of sourcing many types of goods production in China is rapidly\r\nshrinking.<span style=\'mso-spacerun:yes\'>  </span>“Factor in shipping,\r\ninventory costs and other considerations,” and for many types of goods “the\r\ncost gap between sourcing in China and manufacturing in the U.S. will be\r\nminimal,” according to the report.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>The report, titled “Made in America,\r\nAgain,” cites various examples of companies already shifting work back to the U.S.\r\nand says that process will quickly speed up.<span style=\'mso-spacerun:yes\'> \r\n</span>The move of jobs and production back to this country is often called\r\n“re-shoring,” and some organizations are promoting policies to spur greater\r\nreturns of factory jobs from overseas.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>In just five years, BCG said, “the\r\ntotal cost of production for many products will be only about 10 to 15 percent\r\nless in Chinese coastal cities than in some parts of the U.S. where factories\r\nare likely to be built,” before counting shipping costs.<span\r\nstyle=\'mso-spacerun:yes\'>  </span>But the report said ocean shipping rates have\r\nrisen in recent years, mainly because of spiking bunker fuel prices since the\r\ndepths of the recession in 2009, while a shortage of container port capacity\r\nprojected in 2015 and a falloff in shipbuilding could push rates higher.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>The authors said the steady\r\nappreciation of China’s currency against the U.S. dollar is another factor raising\r\nthe cost of goods made there, while trade disputes continue over many products\r\nmade in China and the ocean supply chain is subject to threat of disruptions.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>BCG said several southern U.S. states\r\n“will turn out to be among the least expensive production sites in the\r\nindustrialized world.” Mexico is also getting some of the output shifting from\r\nChina, and can deliver goods into the U.S. in one or two days compared with 21\r\nby ocean. But BCG officials said Mexico would not benefit as much as some\r\nexpect because U.S. expertise in many goods would draw the work back here\r\ninstead.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>The group said industries most likely\r\nto see a production shift back to the U.S. are transportation goods, electrical\r\nequipment and appliances, furniture, plastics and rubber products, machinery,\r\nfabricated metal products, and electronics. “Together, these seven industry\r\ngroups could add $100 billion in output to the<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>U.S. economy and lower the U.S.\r\nnon-oil trade deficit by 20 to 35 percent,” BCG said.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>BCG is an international business\r\nmanagement advisory firm with offices in 42 countries.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraph align=right style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:\r\n.0001pt;mso-add-space:auto;text-align:right;text-indent:-.25in;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><![if !supportLists]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";mso-fareast-font-family:\r\nArial\'><span style=\'mso-list:Ignore\'>-<span style=\'font:7.0pt \"Times New Roman\"\'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;\r\n</span></span></span><![endif]><span style=\'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>Journal\r\nof Commerce Online, 10/7/2011<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n</div>\r\n\r\n</body>\r\n\r\n</html>\r\n\";s:6:\"teaser\";s:600:\"<html xmlns:v=\"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:vml\"\r\nxmlns:o=\"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office\"\r\nxmlns:w=\"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:word\"\r\nxmlns:m=\"http://schemas.microsoft.com/office/2004/12/omml\"\r\nxmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40\">\r\n\r\n<head>\r\n<meta http-equiv=Content-Type content=\"text/html; 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The move of jobs and production back to this country is often called &ldquo;re-shoring,&rdquo; and some organizations are promoting policies to spur greater returns of factory jobs from overseas.\n</p>\n<p>\nIn just five years, BCG said, &ldquo;the total cost of production for many products will be only about 10 to 15 percent less in Chinese coastal cities than in some parts of the U.S. where factories are likely to be built,&rdquo; before counting shipping costs.  But the report said ocean shipping rates have risen in recent years, mainly because of spiking bunker fuel prices since the depths of the recession in 2009, while a shortage of container port capacity projected in 2015 and a falloff in shipbuilding could push rates higher.\n</p>\n<p>\nThe authors said the steady appreciation of China&rsquo;s currency against the U.S. dollar is another factor raising the cost of goods made there, while trade disputes continue over many products made in China and the ocean supply chain is subject to threat of disruptions.\n</p>\n<p>\nBCG said several southern U.S. states &ldquo;will turn out to be among the least expensive production sites in the industrialized world.&rdquo; Mexico is also getting some of the output shifting from China, and can deliver goods into the U.S. in one or two days compared with 21 by ocean. 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The move of jobs and production back to this country is often called &ldquo;re-shoring,&rdquo; and some organizations are promoting policies to spur greater returns of factory jobs from overseas.\r\n</p>\r\n<p>\r\nIn just five years, BCG said, &ldquo;the total cost of production for many products will be only about 10 to 15 percent less in Chinese coastal cities than in some parts of the U.S. where factories are likely to be built,&rdquo; before counting shipping costs.  But the report said ocean shipping rates have risen in recent years, mainly because of spiking bunker fuel prices since the depths of the recession in 2009, while a shortage of container port capacity projected in 2015 and a falloff in shipbuilding could push rates higher.\r\n</p>\r\n<p>\r\nThe authors said the steady appreciation of China&rsquo;s currency against the U.S. dollar is another factor raising the cost of goods made there, while trade disputes continue over many products made in China and the ocean supply chain is subject to threat of disruptions.\r\n</p>\r\n<p>\r\nBCG said several southern U.S. states &ldquo;will turn out to be among the least expensive production sites in the industrialized world.&rdquo; Mexico is also getting some of the output shifting from China, and can deliver goods into the U.S. in one or two days compared with 21 by ocean. 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The move of jobs and production back to this country is often called &ldquo;re-shoring,&rdquo; and some organizations are promoting policies to spur greater returns of factory jobs from overseas.\r\n</p>\r\n<p>\r\nIn just five years, BCG said, &ldquo;the total cost of production for many products will be only about 10 to 15 percent less in Chinese coastal cities than in some parts of the U.S. where factories are likely to be built,&rdquo; before counting shipping costs.  But the report said ocean shipping rates have risen in recent years, mainly because of spiking bunker fuel prices since the depths of the recession in 2009, while a shortage of container port capacity projected in 2015 and a falloff in shipbuilding could push rates higher.\r\n</p>\r\n<p>\r\nThe authors said the steady appreciation of China&rsquo;s currency against the U.S. dollar is another factor raising the cost of goods made there, while trade disputes continue over many products made in China and the ocean supply chain is subject to threat of disruptions.\r\n</p>\r\n<p>\r\nBCG said several southern U.S. states &ldquo;will turn out to be among the least expensive production sites in the industrialized world.&rdquo; Mexico is also getting some of the output shifting from China, and can deliver goods into the U.S. in one or two days compared with 21 by ocean. But BCG officials said Mexico would not benefit as much as some expect because U.S. expertise in many goods would draw the work back here instead.\r\n</p>\r\n<p>\r\nThe group said industries most likely to see a production shift back to the U.S. are transportation goods, electrical equipment and appliances, furniture, plastics and rubber products, machinery, fabricated metal products, and electronics. &ldquo;Together, these seven industry groups could add $100 billion in output to the\r\n</p>\r\n<p>\r\n&ldquo;U.S. economy and lower the U.S. non-oil trade deficit by 20 to 35 percent,&rdquo; BCG said.\r\n</p>\r\n<p>\r\nBCG is an international business management advisory firm with offices in 42 countries.\r\n</p>\r\n</body>\r\n</html>\r\n\";s:6:\"format\";s:1:\"3\";s:8:\"revision\";i:0;s:3:\"log\";s:0:\"\";s:4:\"name\";s:9:\"bmcdevitt\";s:4:\"date\";s:25:\"2011-11-03 10:42:42 -0400\";s:6:\"status\";i:1;s:7:\"promote\";i:0;s:6:\"sticky\";i:0;s:6:\"submit\";s:4:\"Save\";s:2:\"op\";s:7:\"Preview\";s:7:\"preview\";s:7:\"Preview\";s:6:\"delete\";s:6:\"Delete\";s:13:\"form_build_id\";s:37:\"form-c3ba9f55db57baa9a623e9a6871e879d\";s:10:\"form_token\";s:32:\"7a3df82620e7994193d2238ab598fc04\";s:7:\"form_id\";s:14:\"page_node_form\";s:7:\"comment\";s:1:\"0\";s:4:\"menu\";a:13:{s:4:\"mlid\";i:0;s:6:\"module\";s:4:\"menu\";s:6:\"hidden\";i:0;s:12:\"has_children\";i:0;s:10:\"customized\";i:0;s:7:\"options\";a:0:{}s:8:\"expanded\";i:0;s:18:\"parent_depth_limit\";i:8;s:10:\"link_title\";s:0:\"\";s:6:\"parent\";s:15:\"primary-links:0\";s:6:\"weight\";s:1:\"0\";s:4:\"plid\";s:1:\"0\";s:9:\"menu_name\";s:13:\"primary-links\";}s:4:\"path\";s:0:\"\";s:6:\"teaser\";s:528:\"<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-//W3C//DTD XHTML 1.0 Transitional//EN\" \"http://www.w3.org/TR/xhtml1/DTD/xhtml1-transitional.dtd\">\r\n<html xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml\" >\r\n<head>\r\n    <title>Untitled Page</title>\r\n</head>\r\n<body>\r\n<hr style=\"margin-right: 100px;\" />\r\n<h1>\r\nManufacturing Jobs to Shift from China to US, Report Says</h1>\r\n<p>\r\nA big shift of manufacturing from China to the U.S. and other parts of North America will create up to 3 million U.S. jobs in coming years, says a study from Boston Consulting Group.\r\n</p>\";s:9:\"validated\";b:1;}s:7:\"rebuild\";b:1;s:12:\"node_preview\";s:4249:\"<div class=\"preview\"><h3>Preview trimmed version</h3><div id=\"node-77\" class=\"node\">\n\n\n  <h2><a href=\"/node/77\" title=\"article 4\">article 4</a></h2>\n\n  \n  <div class=\"content clear-block\">\n    <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-//W3C//DTD XHTML 1.0 Transitional//EN\" \"http://www.w3.org/TR/xhtml1/DTD/xhtml1-transitional.dtd\">\n<html xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml\" >\n<head>\n    <title>Untitled Page</title>\n</head>\n<body>\n<hr style=\"margin-right: 100px;\" />\n<h1>\nManufacturing Jobs to Shift from China to US, Report Says</h1>\n<p>\nA big shift of manufacturing from China to the U.S. and other parts of North America will create up to 3 million U.S. jobs in coming years, says a study from Boston Consulting Group.\n</p>  </div>\n\n  <div class=\"clear-block\">\n    <div class=\"meta\">\n        </div>\n\n      </div>\n\n</div>\n<h3>Preview full version</h3><div id=\"node-77\" class=\"node\">\n\n\n  <h2><a href=\"/node/77\" title=\"article 4\">article 4</a></h2>\n\n  \n  <div class=\"content clear-block\">\n    <!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC \"-//W3C//DTD XHTML 1.0 Transitional//EN\" \"http://www.w3.org/TR/xhtml1/DTD/xhtml1-transitional.dtd\">\n<html xmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml\" >\n<head>\n    <title>Untitled Page</title>\n</head>\n<body>\n<hr style=\"margin-right: 100px;\" />\n<h1>\nManufacturing Jobs to Shift from China to US, Report Says</h1>\n<p>\nA big shift of manufacturing from China to the U.S. and other parts of North America will create up to 3 million U.S. jobs in coming years, says a study from Boston Consulting Group.\n</p>\n<p>\nThe report says labor costs in China are rising so fast, while U.S. productivity continues to climb, that the cost advantage of sourcing many types of goods production in China is rapidly shrinking.  &ldquo;Factor in shipping, inventory costs and other considerations,&rdquo; and for many types of goods &ldquo;the cost gap between sourcing in China and manufacturing in the U.S. will be minimal,&rdquo; according to the report.\n</p>\n<p>\nThe report, titled &ldquo;Made in America, Again,&rdquo; cites various examples of companies already shifting work back to the U.S. and says that process will quickly speed up.  The move of jobs and production back to this country is often called &ldquo;re-shoring,&rdquo; and some organizations are promoting policies to spur greater returns of factory jobs from overseas.\n</p>\n<p>\nIn just five years, BCG said, &ldquo;the total cost of production for many products will be only about 10 to 15 percent less in Chinese coastal cities than in some parts of the U.S. where factories are likely to be built,&rdquo; before counting shipping costs.  But the report said ocean shipping rates have risen in recent years, mainly because of spiking bunker fuel prices since the depths of the recession in 2009, while a shortage of container port capacity projected in 2015 and a falloff in shipbuilding could push rates higher.\n</p>\n<p>\nThe authors said the steady appreciation of China&rsquo;s currency against the U.S. dollar is another factor raising the cost of goods made there, while trade disputes continue over many products made in China and the ocean supply chain is subject to threat of disruptions.\n</p>\n<p>\nBCG said several southern U.S. states &ldquo;will turn out to be among the least expensive production sites in the industrialized world.&rdquo; Mexico is also getting some of the output shifting from China, and can deliver goods into the U.S. in one or two days compared with 21 by ocean. But BCG officials said Mexico would not benefit as much as some expect because U.S. expertise in many goods would draw the work back here instead.\n</p>\n<p>\nThe group said industries most likely to see a production shift back to the U.S. are transportation goods, electrical equipment and appliances, furniture, plastics and rubber products, machinery, fabricated metal products, and electronics. &ldquo;Together, these seven industry groups could add $100 billion in output to the\n</p>\n<p>\n&ldquo;U.S. economy and lower the U.S. non-oil trade deficit by 20 to 35 percent,&rdquo; BCG said.\n</p>\n<p>\nBCG is an international business management advisory firm with offices in 42 countries.\n</p>\n</body>\n</html>\n  </div>\n\n  <div class=\"clear-block\">\n    <div class=\"meta\">\n        </div>\n\n      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Priority=\"68\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 2 Accent 1\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"69\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 3 Accent 1\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"70\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Dark List Accent 1\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"71\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Shading Accent 1\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"72\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful List Accent 1\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"73\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Grid Accent 1\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"60\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Shading Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"61\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light List Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"62\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Grid Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"63\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 1 Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"64\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 2 Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"65\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 1 Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"66\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 2 Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"67\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 1 Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"68\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 2 Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"69\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 3 Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"70\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Dark List Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"71\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Shading Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"72\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful List Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"73\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Grid Accent 2\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"60\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Shading Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"61\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light List Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"62\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Grid Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"63\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 1 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"64\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 2 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"65\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 1 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"66\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 2 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"67\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 1 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"68\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 2 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"69\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 3 Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"70\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Dark List Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"71\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Shading Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"72\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful List Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"73\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Grid Accent 3\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"60\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Shading Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"61\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light List Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"62\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Grid Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"63\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 1 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"64\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 2 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"65\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 1 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"66\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 2 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"67\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 1 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"68\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 2 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"69\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 3 Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"70\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Dark List Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"71\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Shading Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"72\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful List Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"73\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Grid Accent 4\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"60\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Shading Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"61\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light List Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"62\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Grid Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"63\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 1 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"64\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 2 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"65\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 1 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"66\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 2 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"67\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 1 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"68\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 2 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"69\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 3 Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"70\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Dark List Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"71\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Shading Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"72\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful List Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"73\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Grid Accent 5\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"60\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Shading Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"61\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light List Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"62\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Light Grid Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"63\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 1 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"64\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Shading 2 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"65\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 1 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"66\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium List 2 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"67\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 1 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"68\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 2 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"69\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Medium Grid 3 Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"70\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Dark List Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"71\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Shading Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"72\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful List Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"73\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" Name=\"Colorful Grid Accent 6\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"19\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"Subtle Emphasis\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"21\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"Intense Emphasis\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"31\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"Subtle Reference\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"32\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"Intense Reference\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"33\" SemiHidden=\"false\"\r\n   UnhideWhenUsed=\"false\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"Book Title\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"37\" Name=\"Bibliography\"/>\r\n  <w:LsdException Locked=\"false\" Priority=\"39\" QFormat=\"true\" Name=\"TOC Heading\"/>\r\n </w:LatentStyles>\r\n</xml><![endif]-->\r\n<style>\r\n<!--\r\n /* Font Definitions */\r\n @font-face\r\n	{font-family:Wingdings;\r\n	panose-1:5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0;\r\n	mso-font-charset:2;\r\n	mso-generic-font-family:auto;\r\n	mso-font-pitch:variable;\r\n	mso-font-signature:0 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div.MsoListParagraphCxSpMiddle\r\n	{mso-style-priority:34;\r\n	mso-style-unhide:no;\r\n	mso-style-qformat:yes;\r\n	mso-style-type:export-only;\r\n	margin-top:0in;\r\n	margin-right:0in;\r\n	margin-bottom:0in;\r\n	margin-left:.5in;\r\n	margin-bottom:.0001pt;\r\n	mso-add-space:auto;\r\n	line-height:115%;\r\n	mso-pagination:widow-orphan;\r\n	font-size:11.0pt;\r\n	font-family:\"Calibri\",\"sans-serif\";\r\n	mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-bidi-font-family:\"Times New Roman\";\r\n	mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;}\r\np.MsoListParagraphCxSpLast, li.MsoListParagraphCxSpLast, div.MsoListParagraphCxSpLast\r\n	{mso-style-priority:34;\r\n	mso-style-unhide:no;\r\n	mso-style-qformat:yes;\r\n	mso-style-type:export-only;\r\n	margin-top:0in;\r\n	margin-right:0in;\r\n	margin-bottom:10.0pt;\r\n	margin-left:.5in;\r\n	mso-add-space:auto;\r\n	line-height:115%;\r\n	mso-pagination:widow-orphan;\r\n	font-size:11.0pt;\r\n	font-family:\"Calibri\",\"sans-serif\";\r\n	mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-bidi-font-family:\"Times New Roman\";\r\n	mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;}\r\n.MsoChpDefault\r\n	{mso-style-type:export-only;\r\n	mso-default-props:yes;\r\n	font-family:\"Calibri\",\"sans-serif\";\r\n	mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri;\r\n	mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;\r\n	mso-bidi-font-family:\"Times New Roman\";\r\n	mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;}\r\n.MsoPapDefault\r\n	{mso-style-type:export-only;\r\n	margin-bottom:10.0pt;\r\n	line-height:115%;}\r\n@page WordSection1\r\n	{size:8.5in 11.0in;\r\n	margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in;\r\n	mso-header-margin:.5in;\r\n	mso-footer-margin:.5in;\r\n	mso-paper-source:0;}\r\ndiv.WordSection1\r\n	{page:WordSection1;}\r\n /* List Definitions */\r\n @list l0\r\n	{mso-list-id:1459646210;\r\n	mso-list-type:hybrid;\r\n	mso-list-template-ids:-1110413884 1937644032 67698691 67698693 67698689 67698691 67698693 67698689 67698691 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style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><b><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:16.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>Manufacturing Jobs to\r\nShift from China to US, Report Says<o:p></o:p></span></b></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>A big shift of manufacturing from\r\nChina to the U.S. and other parts of North America will create up to 3 million\r\nU.S. jobs in coming years, says a study from Boston Consulting Group.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>The report says labor costs in China\r\nare rising so fast, while U.S. productivity continues to climb, that the cost\r\nadvantage of sourcing many types of goods production in China is rapidly\r\nshrinking.<span style=\'mso-spacerun:yes\'>  </span>“Factor in shipping,\r\ninventory costs and other considerations,” and for many types of goods “the\r\ncost gap between sourcing in China and manufacturing in the U.S. will be\r\nminimal,” according to the report.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>The report, titled “Made in America,\r\nAgain,” cites various examples of companies already shifting work back to the U.S.\r\nand says that process will quickly speed up.<span style=\'mso-spacerun:yes\'> \r\n</span>The move of jobs and production back to this country is often called\r\n“re-shoring,” and some organizations are promoting policies to spur greater\r\nreturns of factory jobs from overseas.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>In just five years, BCG said, “the\r\ntotal cost of production for many products will be only about 10 to 15 percent\r\nless in Chinese coastal cities than in some parts of the U.S. where factories\r\nare likely to be built,” before counting shipping costs.<span\r\nstyle=\'mso-spacerun:yes\'>  </span>But the report said ocean shipping rates have\r\nrisen in recent years, mainly because of spiking bunker fuel prices since the\r\ndepths of the recession in 2009, while a shortage of container port capacity\r\nprojected in 2015 and a falloff in shipbuilding could push rates higher.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>The authors said the steady\r\nappreciation of China’s currency against the U.S. dollar is another factor raising\r\nthe cost of goods made there, while trade disputes continue over many products\r\nmade in China and the ocean supply chain is subject to threat of disruptions.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>BCG said several southern U.S. states\r\n“will turn out to be among the least expensive production sites in the\r\nindustrialized world.” Mexico is also getting some of the output shifting from\r\nChina, and can deliver goods into the U.S. in one or two days compared with 21\r\nby ocean. But BCG officials said Mexico would not benefit as much as some\r\nexpect because U.S. expertise in many goods would draw the work back here\r\ninstead.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>The group said industries most likely\r\nto see a production shift back to the U.S. are transportation goods, electrical\r\nequipment and appliances, furniture, plastics and rubber products, machinery,\r\nfabricated metal products, and electronics. “Together, these seven industry\r\ngroups could add $100 billion in output to the<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>U.S. economy and lower the U.S.\r\nnon-oil trade deficit by 20 to 35 percent,” BCG said.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>BCG is an international business\r\nmanagement advisory firm with offices in 42 countries.<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoNormal style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><span style=\'font-size:\r\n10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n<p class=MsoListParagraph align=right style=\'margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:\r\n.0001pt;mso-add-space:auto;text-align:right;text-indent:-.25in;line-height:\r\nnormal;mso-list:l0 level1 lfo1;mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none\'><![if !supportLists]><span\r\nstyle=\'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\";mso-fareast-font-family:\r\nArial\'><span style=\'mso-list:Ignore\'>-<span style=\'font:7.0pt \"Times New Roman\"\'>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;\r\n</span></span></span><![endif]><span style=\'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:\"Arial\",\"sans-serif\"\'>Journal\r\nof Commerce Online, 10/7/2011<o:p></o:p></span></p>\r\n\r\n</div>\r\n\r\n</body>\r\n\r\n</html>\r\n\";s:6:\"teaser\";s:600:\"<html xmlns:v=\"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:vml\"\r\nxmlns:o=\"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office\"\r\nxmlns:w=\"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:word\"\r\nxmlns:m=\"http://schemas.microsoft.com/office/2004/12/omml\"\r\nxmlns=\"http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40\">\r\n\r\n<head>\r\n<meta http-equiv=Content-Type content=\"text/html; 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In these models a lot of time is spent on the front end creating the forecasts, with an even greater amount of time being spent on the back end trying to explain the variances between projections and actual results.  And while this traditional process is better than not budgeting at all, it has minimal value, since the focus is on the past rather than the future.</p>\r\n<p>I recently attended a presentation by Nick Setchell (CEO of Practice Strategies) where he presented his thoughts on a financial tool to a group of CEO’s looking to improve their company’s performance.  The focal point of Nick’s presentation was on the value of using a 24 month rolling forecast vs. the more traditional models so widely used. He explained that by simply looking at their financial data in a slightly different way, they could actually create a more accurate and fluid forecasting tool.</p>\r\n<p>To set the stage, he briefly touched on the prevailing forecasting methods used by most small to medium size companies.  The first being the Year-To-Date (YTD) method, which is where the finance team simply adds the previous month’s numbers to the profit and loss (P&L) until they hit year-end.  After the last month of the year, the P&L provides a trailing 12 month view of each component of the P&L.\r\nThe other popular method is the trailing 12 month (TTM) forecast.  In this model, the finance team keeps a rolling view of the last 12 months of the P&L, every month, regardless of the start and end dates of the fiscal year.  When each month closes, the finance team adds it to the P&L and drops off the oldest month.</p>\r\n<p>By reducing the impact of seasonality, TTM is actually an improvement over YTD, however it still only provides a historical view with no future insight.\r\nAccording to Nick, Twenty-Four Month Rolling Forecasting is a much more effective way to measure profit and loss since it incorporates TTM and adds a real-time twelve month future P&L forecast, to provide a wider view and time horizon of trends of the business.</p>\r\n<p>At this point, Nick introduced the concept of “field of vision.”  The analogy he provided is that of a driver’s education class.  The driving instructor always stresses looking down the road, rather than focusing on the portion of the road directly in front of the car.  The reason is obvious: focusing directly ahead makes it difficult to react to changes on the road beyond your narrow field of vision.</p>\r\n\r\n<p>In order for twenty-four month rolling forecasting to be effective, it must be more than a financial function.  Finance must work with Operations to recast the next eleven months and add the new twelfth month based upon feedback from the Operations group.  Operations must consider one question every month:  “What information has come to light in the last 30 days that changes our view of the future?”  Based upon the answer to this question, the operational team must decide how to change behavior and what actions they need to investigate in order to update the 12 month view of the company’s future performance.  This is not merely a financial exercise as it involves thought and input from all operational areas of the company.</p>\r\n<p>The twenty-four month rolling forecast will be contrary to Financial Department objectives, which typically try to be precise.  The forecast will not be exact, but as the operational team becomes accustomed to evaluating changes and providing input in the forecast, it will become more and more accurate.\r\nThe goal of the twenty-four month rolling forecast is not necessarily accuracy.  It is to get the organization to focus on current internal and external factors that will affect company performance in the next twelve months.</p>\r\n<p>I can say that we have recently started using this technique at TLI, and while we are still learning, we have discovered that it does in fact help keep us more current and in a better position to proactively face situations that could adversely affect our business.</p>\r\n<p>If you are interested in hearing more about our experiences, or would like to discuss this model in greater detail, please drop me a line.</p>\r\n\r\n\r\n<hr style=\"margin-right: 100px;\" />\r\n<p class=\"pressfooter\">\r\n	Translogistics, Inc (TLI) is a logistics management company that combines extensive industry experience with innovative technology to enhance our client’s logistics process and improve their bottom line. TLI works in a consultative capacity with their client companies to develop comprehensive, cost-effective, transportation & supply chain solutions designed to meet the challenges of an ever-evolving economic environment. TLI offers a wide array of technology solutions, from a state-of-the-art Transportation Management System (TMS) to a variety of other client specific applications. 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In these models a lot of time is spent on the front end creating the forecasts, with an even greater amount of time being spent on the back end trying to explain the variances between projections and actual results.  And while this traditional process is better than not budgeting at all, it has minimal value, since the focus is on the past rather than the future.</p>\r\n<p>I recently attended a presentation by Nick Setchell (CEO of Practice Strategies) where he presented his thoughts on a financial tool to a group of CEO’s looking to improve their company’s performance.  The focal point of Nick’s presentation was on the value of using a 24 month rolling forecast vs. the more traditional models so widely used. He explained that by simply looking at their financial data in a slightly different way, they could actually create a more accurate and fluid forecasting tool.</p>\r\n<p>To set the stage, he briefly touched on the prevailing forecasting methods used by most small to medium size companies.  The first being the Year-To-Date (YTD) method, which is where the finance team simply adds the previous month’s numbers to the profit and loss (P&L) until they hit year-end.  After the last month of the year, the P&L provides a trailing 12 month view of each component of the P&L.\r\nThe other popular method is the trailing 12 month (TTM) forecast.  In this model, the finance team keeps a rolling view of the last 12 months of the P&L, every month, regardless of the start and end dates of the fiscal year.  When each month closes, the finance team adds it to the P&L and drops off the oldest month.</p>\r\n<p>By reducing the impact of seasonality, TTM is actually an improvement over YTD, however it still only provides a historical view with no future insight.\r\nAccording to Nick, Twenty-Four Month Rolling Forecasting is a much more effective way to measure profit and loss since it incorporates TTM and adds a real-time twelve month future P&L forecast, to provide a wider view and time horizon of trends of the business.</p>\r\n<p>At this point, Nick introduced the concept of “field of vision.”  The analogy he provided is that of a driver’s education class.  The driving instructor always stresses looking down the road, rather than focusing on the portion of the road directly in front of the car.  The reason is obvious: focusing directly ahead makes it difficult to react to changes on the road beyond your narrow field of vision.</p>\r\n\r\n<p>In order for twenty-four month rolling forecasting to be effective, it must be more than a financial function.  Finance must work with Operations to recast the next eleven months and add the new twelfth month based upon feedback from the Operations group.  Operations must consider one question every month:  “What information has come to light in the last 30 days that changes our view of the future?”  Based upon the answer to this question, the operational team must decide how to change behavior and what actions they need to investigate in order to update the 12 month view of the company’s future performance.  This is not merely a financial exercise as it involves thought and input from all operational areas of the company.</p>\r\n<p>The twenty-four month rolling forecast will be contrary to Financial Department objectives, which typically try to be precise.  The forecast will not be exact, but as the operational team becomes accustomed to evaluating changes and providing input in the forecast, it will become more and more accurate.\r\nThe goal of the twenty-four month rolling forecast is not necessarily accuracy.  It is to get the organization to focus on current internal and external factors that will affect company performance in the next twelve months.</p>\r\n<p>I can say that we have recently started using this technique at TLI, and while we are still learning, we have discovered that it does in fact help keep us more current and in a better position to proactively face situations that could adversely affect our business.</p>\r\n<p>If you are interested in hearing more about our experiences, or would like to discuss this model in greater detail, please drop me a line.</p>\r\n\r\n\r\n<hr style=\"margin-right: 100px;\" />\r\n<p class=\"pressfooter\">\r\n	Translogistics, Inc (TLI) is a logistics management company that combines extensive industry experience with innovative technology to enhance our client’s logistics process and improve their bottom line. TLI works in a consultative capacity with their client companies to develop comprehensive, cost-effective, transportation & supply chain solutions designed to meet the challenges of an ever-evolving economic environment. TLI offers a wide array of technology solutions, from a state-of-the-art Transportation Management System (TMS) to a variety of other client specific applications. 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Announces Carrier of The Year 2011</p>\r\n	<p class=\"readmore\">\r\n		<a href=\"/node/66\">Read the complete story.</a></p>\r\n\r\n<h4>\r\n		April 2011</h4>\r\n	<p class=\"headline\">\r\n		Translogistics, Inc. announces Peter Rio as an addition to its Traffic Team</p>\r\n	<p class=\"readmore\">\r\n		<a href=\"/node/65\">Read the complete story.</a></p>\r\n\r\n\r\n	<h4>\r\n		February 2011</h4>\r\n	<p class=\"headline\">\r\n		Translogistics, Inc., Launches Newly Updated Website</p>\r\n	<p class=\"readmore\">\r\n		<a href=\"/press_releases/pr_2011_02a\">Read the complete story.</a></p><h4>\r\n		November 2010</h4>\r\n	<p class=\"headline\">\r\n		Translogistics, Inc. announces Ken Ritter as an addition to its Executive Management Team</p>\r\n	<p class=\"readmore\">\r\n		<a href=\"/press_releases/pr_2010_11a\">Read the complete story.</a></p>\r\n	<h4>\r\n		September 2010</h4>\r\n	<p class=\"headline\">\r\n		Translogistics, Inc. announces Todd Arnold as an addition to its Sales Team</p>\r\n	<p class=\"readmore\">\r\n		<a href=\"/press_releases/pr_2010_9a\">Read the complete story.</a></p>\r\n	<h4>\r\n		July 2010</h4>\r\n	<p class=\"headline\">\r\n		Translogistics, Inc. announces Brinder Gill as an addition to its Sales Team</p>\r\n	<p class=\"readmore\">\r\n		<a href=\"/press_releases/pr_2010_7a\">Read the complete story.</a></p>\r\n</div>\r\n\";s:6:\"teaser\";s:576:\"<div class=\"pressindex\">\r\n	<h2>\r\n		Press Releases</h2>\r\n<h4>\r\n		September 2011</h4>\r\n	<p class=\"headline\">\r\n		Translogistics, Inc. 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McDevitt, TLI Founder & CEO\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        From industry events to client visits, one question keeps popping up: “Why do we\r\n        keep hearing about capacity being so tight while the economy is so soft?” I’ve been\r\n        in this industry for over 23 years including three recessions and an incredible\r\n        run in the 90’s and early/mid 2000’s. It was always the case that when the economy\r\n        was doing great, transportation was doing great. When the economy was slowing down\r\n        or stopped, so, too, was the transportation industry. Now, transportation is doing\r\n        great while the economy has stalled. Why…?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        <b>Let’s first look at the numbers:</b>\r\n    </p>\r\n    <dl>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>1) Freight TSI (Transportation Services Index) - a seasonally adjusted index measuring\r\n            ton-miles carried by for-hire trucking, rail, inland waterways, pipelines, and air\r\n            freight carriers. Released by the Transportation Department</p> </dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- June- 108.3 July- 108.3 August – 108.7</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The highest reading since July of 2008</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Peak was 113.3 January of 2005</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>2) Truck Tonnage- (Year 2000 is baseline of 100)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The ATA’s not seasonally-adjusted (NSA) index, which represents the change in\r\n            tonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, was at 123.8 in\r\n            August, well ahead of July’s 111 and in line with June’s 122.3. The August 2010\r\n            NSA index was 113.5, putting the August 2011 NSA up by 9.4 percent.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September- The not seasonally adjusted index, which measures actual tonnage slipped\r\n            3.1% to a reading of 119.5.</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        \r\n        <dt>3) September Purchasing Managers Index- (over 50 is growing)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- PMI = 51.6 “Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September\r\n            for the 26th consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 28th consecutive\r\n            month.” Sluggish, but growing…</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Previous report was 50.6, May 53.5, June 55.3, July 50.9</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>4) Consumer Confidence</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Declined sharply in August, remained essentially unchanged in September. The Index\r\n            now stands at 45.4 (1985=100), up slightly from 45.2 in August.</p>\r\n        </dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: “The\r\n            pessimism that shrouded consumers last month has spilled over into September. Consumer\r\n            expectations, which had plummeted in August, posted a marginal gain. However, consumers\r\n            expressed greater concern about their expected earnings, a sign that does not bode\r\n            well for spending. In addition, consumers’ assessment of current conditions declined\r\n            for the fifth consecutive month, a sign that the economic environment remains weak.”</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n     <p>\r\n        <dt>5) Compared to a year ago diesel prices are up .749 cents. $ 3.83/gallon as of 9/27/11.</dt>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>6) Cass Index- Measures trends in North American shipping activity based on $17\r\n            billion in paid freight expenses of more than a hundred of America’s largest shippers</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September shipments at 1.200 were up 5.0 percent compared to August. 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There are still\r\n        key factors influencing our economy: projected 2011 GDP of roughly 2% or less for\r\n        the next year; and stalled consumer confidence and consumer spending levels.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        Transport Capital Partners’ latest report stated, “more carrier executives aren’t\r\n        as optimistic about the economy rebounding and increasing rates.” Its third quarter\r\n        survey of fleets’ business expectations shows declining confidence in business conditions:\r\n        45% expect volumes to rise from 80% in the second quarter. 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McDevitt, TLI Founder & CEO\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        From industry events to client visits, one question keeps popping up: “Why do we\r\n        keep hearing about capacity being so tight while the economy is so soft?” I’ve been\r\n        in this industry for over 23 years including three recessions and an incredible\r\n        run in the 90’s and early/mid 2000’s. It was always the case that when the economy\r\n        was doing great, transportation was doing great. When the economy was slowing down\r\n        or stopped, so, too, was the transportation industry. Now, transportation is doing\r\n        great while the economy has stalled. Why…?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        <b>Let’s first look at the numbers:</b>\r\n    </p>\r\n    <dl>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>1) Freight TSI (Transportation Services Index) - a seasonally adjusted index measuring\r\n            ton-miles carried by for-hire trucking, rail, inland waterways, pipelines, and air\r\n            freight carriers. Released by the Transportation Department</p> </dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- June- 108.3 July- 108.3 August – 108.7</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The highest reading since July of 2008</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Peak was 113.3 January of 2005</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>2) Truck Tonnage- (Year 2000 is baseline of 100)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The ATA’s not seasonally-adjusted (NSA) index, which represents the change in\r\n            tonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, was at 123.8 in\r\n            August, well ahead of July’s 111 and in line with June’s 122.3. The August 2010\r\n            NSA index was 113.5, putting the August 2011 NSA up by 9.4 percent.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September- The not seasonally adjusted index, which measures actual tonnage slipped\r\n            3.1% to a reading of 119.5.</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        \r\n        <dt>3) September Purchasing Managers Index- (over 50 is growing)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- PMI = 51.6 “Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September\r\n            for the 26th consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 28th consecutive\r\n            month.” Sluggish, but growing…</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Previous report was 50.6, May 53.5, June 55.3, July 50.9</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>4) Consumer Confidence</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Declined sharply in August, remained essentially unchanged in September. The Index\r\n            now stands at 45.4 (1985=100), up slightly from 45.2 in August.</p>\r\n        </dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: “The\r\n            pessimism that shrouded consumers last month has spilled over into September. Consumer\r\n            expectations, which had plummeted in August, posted a marginal gain. However, consumers\r\n            expressed greater concern about their expected earnings, a sign that does not bode\r\n            well for spending. In addition, consumers’ assessment of current conditions declined\r\n            for the fifth consecutive month, a sign that the economic environment remains weak.”</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n     <p>\r\n        <dt>5) Compared to a year ago diesel prices are up .749 cents. $ 3.83/gallon as of 9/27/11.</dt>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>6) Cass Index- Measures trends in North American shipping activity based on $17\r\n            billion in paid freight expenses of more than a hundred of America’s largest shippers</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September shipments at 1.200 were up 5.0 percent compared to August. They were\r\n            up 7.5 percent compared to September 2010.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September expenditures at 2.388 were up 4.6 percent compared to August and up\r\n            17.6 percent compared to last year, which is roughly half of what annual expenditures\r\n            comparisons have been in previous months prior to August, which was up 15.8 percent\r\n            annually, with January through July averaging 30.9 percent annual increases for\r\n            expenditures.</p></dd>\r\n  \r\n    </dl>\r\n    <p>\r\n        After reading the various indexes, it is easy to conclude that the economy looks\r\n        to be doing better. However, Cass’ conclusion is that “This however, does not suggest\r\n        the beginning of a trend towards more positive economic growth. There are still\r\n        key factors influencing our economy: projected 2011 GDP of roughly 2% or less for\r\n        the next year; and stalled consumer confidence and consumer spending levels.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        Transport Capital Partners’ latest report stated, “more carrier executives aren’t\r\n        as optimistic about the economy rebounding and increasing rates.” Its third quarter\r\n        survey of fleets’ business expectations shows declining confidence in business conditions:\r\n        45% expect volumes to rise from 80% in the second quarter. It was 92% in the first\r\n        quarter.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        So how can we see positive indicators (sluggish but still positive) and hear reports\r\n        weekly about how tight capacity is in the TL and LTL domestic market while more\r\n        carrier executives are saying they aren’t as optimistic about the economy rebounding?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        The answer lies in the change in America from predominantly manufacturing (still\r\n        growing slowly) to predominantly service (contracting). Since manufacturing is now\r\n        the smaller of the two and directly affects transportation, the transportation indexes\r\n        continue to show improvement month over month while the overall economy is showing\r\n        continued high unemployment, low consumer confidence, and lower confidence by business\r\n        executives.\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        In other words, because manufacturing has continued to grow and transportation capacity\r\n        has shrunk due to carrier bankruptcies and downsizing throughout the recession,\r\n        the domestic transportation industry is now enjoying tight capacity, holding rates\r\n        firm and profitable while the overall US economy has shown signs of stalling.\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        In the past, it would be easy to associate a slow economy with a great time to renegotiate\r\n        with the carriers. This isn’t necessarily the case right now but the pendulum may\r\n        be swinging back in the shippers’ favor.\r\n    </p>\";s:6:\"teaser\";s:215:\"    <hr style=\"margin-right: 100px;\" />\r\n    <h1>\r\n        How Can Domestic Transportation Capacity Be So Tight While The Economy Is Sluggish?</h1>\r\n    <p>\r\n        By Scott J. 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McDevitt, TLI Founder & CEO\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        From industry events to client visits, one question keeps popping up: “Why do we\r\n        keep hearing about capacity being so tight while the economy is so soft?” I’ve been\r\n        in this industry for over 23 years including three recessions and an incredible\r\n        run in the 90’s and early/mid 2000’s. It was always the case that when the economy\r\n        was doing great, transportation was doing great. When the economy was slowing down\r\n        or stopped, so, too, was the transportation industry. Now, transportation is doing\r\n        great while the economy has stalled. Why…?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        <b>Let’s first look at the numbers:</b>\r\n    </p>\r\n    <dl>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>1) Freight TSI (Transportation Services Index) - a seasonally adjusted index measuring\r\n            ton-miles carried by for-hire trucking, rail, inland waterways, pipelines, and air\r\n            freight carriers. Released by the Transportation Department</p> </dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- June- 108.3 July- 108.3 August – 108.7</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The highest reading since July of 2008</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Peak was 113.3 January of 2005</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>2) Truck Tonnage- (Year 2000 is baseline of 100)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The ATA’s not seasonally-adjusted (NSA) index, which represents the change in\r\n            tonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, was at 123.8 in\r\n            August, well ahead of July’s 111 and in line with June’s 122.3. The August 2010\r\n            NSA index was 113.5, putting the August 2011 NSA up by 9.4 percent.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September- The not seasonally adjusted index, which measures actual tonnage slipped\r\n            3.1% to a reading of 119.5.</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        \r\n        <dt>3) September Purchasing Managers Index- (over 50 is growing)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- PMI = 51.6 “Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September\r\n            for the 26th consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 28th consecutive\r\n            month.” Sluggish, but growing…</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Previous report was 50.6, May 53.5, June 55.3, July 50.9</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>4) Consumer Confidence</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Declined sharply in August, remained essentially unchanged in September. The Index\r\n            now stands at 45.4 (1985=100), up slightly from 45.2 in August.</p>\r\n        </dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: “The\r\n            pessimism that shrouded consumers last month has spilled over into September. Consumer\r\n            expectations, which had plummeted in August, posted a marginal gain. However, consumers\r\n            expressed greater concern about their expected earnings, a sign that does not bode\r\n            well for spending. In addition, consumers’ assessment of current conditions declined\r\n            for the fifth consecutive month, a sign that the economic environment remains weak.”</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n     <p>\r\n        <dt>5) Compared to a year ago diesel prices are up .749 cents. $ 3.83/gallon as of 9/27/11.</dt>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>6) Cass Index- Measures trends in North American shipping activity based on $17\r\n            billion in paid freight expenses of more than a hundred of America’s largest shippers</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September shipments at 1.200 were up 5.0 percent compared to August. They were\r\n            up 7.5 percent compared to September 2010.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September expenditures at 2.388 were up 4.6 percent compared to August and up\r\n            17.6 percent compared to last year, which is roughly half of what annual expenditures\r\n            comparisons have been in previous months prior to August, which was up 15.8 percent\r\n            annually, with January through July averaging 30.9 percent annual increases for\r\n            expenditures.</p></dd>\r\n  \r\n    </dl>\r\n    <p>\r\n        After reading the various indexes, it is easy to conclude that the economy looks\r\n        to be doing better. However, Cass’ conclusion is that “This however, does not suggest\r\n        the beginning of a trend towards more positive economic growth. There are still\r\n        key factors influencing our economy: projected 2011 GDP of roughly 2% or less for\r\n        the next year; and stalled consumer confidence and consumer spending levels.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        Transport Capital Partners’ latest report stated, “more carrier executives aren’t\r\n        as optimistic about the economy rebounding and increasing rates.” Its third quarter\r\n        survey of fleets’ business expectations shows declining confidence in business conditions:\r\n        45% expect volumes to rise from 80% in the second quarter. It was 92% in the first\r\n        quarter.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        So how can we see positive indicators (sluggish but still positive) and hear reports\r\n        weekly about how tight capacity is in the TL and LTL domestic market while more\r\n        carrier executives are saying they aren’t as optimistic about the economy rebounding?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        The answer lies in the change in America from predominantly manufacturing (still\r\n        growing slowly) to predominantly service (contracting). Since manufacturing is now\r\n        the smaller of the two and directly affects transportation, the transportation indexes\r\n        continue to show improvement month over month while the overall economy is showing\r\n        continued high unemployment, low consumer confidence, and lower confidence by business\r\n        executives.\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        In other words, because manufacturing has continued to grow and transportation capacity\r\n        has shrunk due to carrier bankruptcies and downsizing throughout the recession,\r\n        the domestic transportation industry is now enjoying tight capacity, holding rates\r\n        firm and profitable while the overall US economy has shown signs of stalling.\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        In the past, it would be easy to associate a slow economy with a great time to renegotiate\r\n        with the carriers. 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McDevitt, TLI Founder & CEO\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        From industry events to client visits, one question keeps popping up: “Why do we\r\n        keep hearing about capacity being so tight while the economy is so soft?” I’ve been\r\n        in this industry for over 23 years including three recessions and an incredible\r\n        run in the 90’s and early/mid 2000’s. It was always the case that when the economy\r\n        was doing great, transportation was doing great. When the economy was slowing down\r\n        or stopped, so, too, was the transportation industry. Now, transportation is doing\r\n        great while the economy has stalled. Why…?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        <b>Let’s first look at the numbers:</b>\r\n    </p>\r\n    <dl>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>1) Freight TSI (Transportation Services Index) - a seasonally adjusted index measuring\r\n            ton-miles carried by for-hire trucking, rail, inland waterways, pipelines, and air\r\n            freight carriers. Released by the Transportation Department</p> </dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- June- 108.3 July- 108.3 August – 108.7</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The highest reading since July of 2008</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Peak was 113.3 January of 2005</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>2) Truck Tonnage- (Year 2000 is baseline of 100)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The ATA’s not seasonally-adjusted (NSA) index, which represents the change in\r\n            tonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, was at 123.8 in\r\n            August, well ahead of July’s 111 and in line with June’s 122.3. The August 2010\r\n            NSA index was 113.5, putting the August 2011 NSA up by 9.4 percent.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September- The not seasonally adjusted index, which measures actual tonnage slipped\r\n            3.1% to a reading of 119.5.</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        \r\n        <dt>3) September Purchasing Managers Index- (over 50 is growing)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- PMI = 51.6 “Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September\r\n            for the 26th consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 28th consecutive\r\n            month.” Sluggish, but growing…</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Previous report was 50.6, May 53.5, June 55.3, July 50.9</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>4) Consumer Confidence</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Declined sharply in August, remained essentially unchanged in September. The Index\r\n            now stands at 45.4 (1985=100), up slightly from 45.2 in August.</p>\r\n        </dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: “The\r\n            pessimism that shrouded consumers last month has spilled over into September. Consumer\r\n            expectations, which had plummeted in August, posted a marginal gain. However, consumers\r\n            expressed greater concern about their expected earnings, a sign that does not bode\r\n            well for spending. In addition, consumers’ assessment of current conditions declined\r\n            for the fifth consecutive month, a sign that the economic environment remains weak.”</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n     <p>\r\n        <dt>5) Compared to a year ago diesel prices are up .749 cents. $ 3.83/gallon as of 9/27/11.</dt>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>6) Cass Index- Measures trends in North American shipping activity based on $17\r\n            billion in paid freight expenses of more than a hundred of America’s largest shippers</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September shipments at 1.200 were up 5.0 percent compared to August. They were\r\n            up 7.5 percent compared to September 2010.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September expenditures at 2.388 were up 4.6 percent compared to August and up\r\n            17.6 percent compared to last year, which is roughly half of what annual expenditures\r\n            comparisons have been in previous months prior to August, which was up 15.8 percent\r\n            annually, with January through July averaging 30.9 percent annual increases for\r\n            expenditures.</p></dd>\r\n  \r\n    </dl>\r\n    <p>\r\n        After reading the various indexes, it is easy to conclude that the economy looks\r\n        to be doing better. However, Cass’ conclusion is that “This however, does not suggest\r\n        the beginning of a trend towards more positive economic growth. There are still\r\n        key factors influencing our economy: projected 2011 GDP of roughly 2% or less for\r\n        the next year; and stalled consumer confidence and consumer spending levels.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        Transport Capital Partners’ latest report stated, “more carrier executives aren’t\r\n        as optimistic about the economy rebounding and increasing rates.” Its third quarter\r\n        survey of fleets’ business expectations shows declining confidence in business conditions:\r\n        45% expect volumes to rise from 80% in the second quarter. 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INSERT INTO `cache_form` VALUES ('form_form-57eb6a9d36bdae0734b0441329573ab0','a:41:{s:3:\"#id\";s:9:\"node-form\";s:3:\"nid\";a:2:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"value\";s:6:\"#value\";s:2:\"74\";}s:3:\"vid\";a:2:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"value\";s:6:\"#value\";s:2:\"74\";}s:3:\"uid\";a:2:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"value\";s:6:\"#value\";s:1:\"8\";}s:7:\"created\";a:2:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"value\";s:6:\"#value\";s:10:\"1320330019\";}s:4:\"type\";a:2:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"value\";s:6:\"#value\";s:4:\"page\";}s:8:\"language\";a:2:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"value\";s:6:\"#value\";s:0:\"\";}s:7:\"changed\";a:2:{s:5:\"#type\";s:6:\"hidden\";s:14:\"#default_value\";s:10:\"1321557733\";}s:5:\"title\";a:6:{s:5:\"#type\";s:9:\"textfield\";s:6:\"#title\";s:5:\"Title\";s:9:\"#required\";b:1;s:14:\"#default_value\";s:9:\"article 1\";s:10:\"#maxlength\";i:255;s:7:\"#weight\";i:-5;}s:10:\"body_field\";a:7:{s:12:\"#after_build\";a:2:{i:0;s:14:\"node_teaser_js\";i:1;s:26:\"node_teaser_include_verify\";}s:7:\"#prefix\";s:32:\"<div class=\"body-field-wrapper\">\";s:7:\"#suffix\";s:6:\"</div>\";s:9:\"teaser_js\";a:5:{s:5:\"#type\";s:8:\"textarea\";s:5:\"#rows\";i:10;s:7:\"#teaser\";s:9:\"edit-body\";s:16:\"#teaser_checkbox\";s:19:\"edit-teaser-include\";s:9:\"#disabled\";b:1;}s:14:\"teaser_include\";a:5:{s:5:\"#type\";s:8:\"checkbox\";s:6:\"#title\";s:25:\"Show summary in full view\";s:14:\"#default_value\";b:1;s:7:\"#prefix\";s:29:\"<div class=\"teaser-checkbox\">\";s:7:\"#suffix\";s:6:\"</div>\";}s:4:\"body\";a:5:{s:5:\"#type\";s:8:\"textarea\";s:6:\"#title\";s:4:\"Body\";s:14:\"#default_value\";s:6777:\"    <hr style=\"margin-right: 100px;\" />\r\n    <h1>\r\n        How Can Domestic Transportation Capacity Be So Tight While The Economy Is Sluggish?</h1>\r\n    <p>\r\n        By Scott J. McDevitt, TLI Founder & CEO\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        From industry events to client visits, one question keeps popping up: “Why do we\r\n        keep hearing about capacity being so tight while the economy is so soft?” I’ve been\r\n        in this industry for over 23 years including three recessions and an incredible\r\n        run in the 90’s and early/mid 2000’s. It was always the case that when the economy\r\n        was doing great, transportation was doing great. When the economy was slowing down\r\n        or stopped, so, too, was the transportation industry. Now, transportation is doing\r\n        great while the economy has stalled. Why…?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        <b>Let’s first look at the numbers:</b>\r\n    </p>\r\n    <dl>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>1) Freight TSI (Transportation Services Index) - a seasonally adjusted index measuring\r\n            ton-miles carried by for-hire trucking, rail, inland waterways, pipelines, and air\r\n            freight carriers. Released by the Transportation Department</p> </dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- June- 108.3 July- 108.3 August – 108.7</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The highest reading since July of 2008</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Peak was 113.3 January of 2005</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>2) Truck Tonnage- (Year 2000 is baseline of 100)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The ATA’s not seasonally-adjusted (NSA) index, which represents the change in\r\n            tonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, was at 123.8 in\r\n            August, well ahead of July’s 111 and in line with June’s 122.3. The August 2010\r\n            NSA index was 113.5, putting the August 2011 NSA up by 9.4 percent.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September- The not seasonally adjusted index, which measures actual tonnage slipped\r\n            3.1% to a reading of 119.5.</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        \r\n        <dt>3) September Purchasing Managers Index- (over 50 is growing)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- PMI = 51.6 “Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September\r\n            for the 26th consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 28th consecutive\r\n            month.” Sluggish, but growing…</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Previous report was 50.6, May 53.5, June 55.3, July 50.9</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>4) Consumer Confidence</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Declined sharply in August, remained essentially unchanged in September. The Index\r\n            now stands at 45.4 (1985=100), up slightly from 45.2 in August.</p>\r\n        </dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: “The\r\n            pessimism that shrouded consumers last month has spilled over into September. Consumer\r\n            expectations, which had plummeted in August, posted a marginal gain. However, consumers\r\n            expressed greater concern about their expected earnings, a sign that does not bode\r\n            well for spending. In addition, consumers’ assessment of current conditions declined\r\n            for the fifth consecutive month, a sign that the economic environment remains weak.”</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n     <p>\r\n        <dt>5) Compared to a year ago diesel prices are up .749 cents. $ 3.83/gallon as of 9/27/11.</dt>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>6) Cass Index- Measures trends in North American shipping activity based on $17\r\n            billion in paid freight expenses of more than a hundred of America’s largest shippers</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September shipments at 1.200 were up 5.0 percent compared to August. They were\r\n            up 7.5 percent compared to September 2010.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September expenditures at 2.388 were up 4.6 percent compared to August and up\r\n            17.6 percent compared to last year, which is roughly half of what annual expenditures\r\n            comparisons have been in previous months prior to August, which was up 15.8 percent\r\n            annually, with January through July averaging 30.9 percent annual increases for\r\n            expenditures.</p></dd>\r\n  \r\n    </dl>\r\n    <p>\r\n        After reading the various indexes, it is easy to conclude that the economy looks\r\n        to be doing better. However, Cass’ conclusion is that “This however, does not suggest\r\n        the beginning of a trend towards more positive economic growth. There are still\r\n        key factors influencing our economy: projected 2011 GDP of roughly 2% or less for\r\n        the next year; and stalled consumer confidence and consumer spending levels.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        Transport Capital Partners’ latest report stated, “more carrier executives aren’t\r\n        as optimistic about the economy rebounding and increasing rates.” Its third quarter\r\n        survey of fleets’ business expectations shows declining confidence in business conditions:\r\n        45% expect volumes to rise from 80% in the second quarter. It was 92% in the first\r\n        quarter.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        So how can we see positive indicators (sluggish but still positive) and hear reports\r\n        weekly about how tight capacity is in the TL and LTL domestic market while more\r\n        carrier executives are saying they aren’t as optimistic about the economy rebounding?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        The answer lies in the change in America from predominantly manufacturing (still\r\n        growing slowly) to predominantly service (contracting). Since manufacturing is now\r\n        the smaller of the two and directly affects transportation, the transportation indexes\r\n        continue to show improvement month over month while the overall economy is showing\r\n        continued high unemployment, low consumer confidence, and lower confidence by business\r\n        executives.\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        In other words, because manufacturing has continued to grow and transportation capacity\r\n        has shrunk due to carrier bankruptcies and downsizing throughout the recession,\r\n        the domestic transportation industry is now enjoying tight capacity, holding rates\r\n        firm and profitable while the overall US economy has shown signs of stalling.\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        In the past, it would be easy to associate a slow economy with a great time to renegotiate\r\n        with the carriers. This isn’t necessarily the case right now but the pendulum may\r\n        be swinging back in the shippers’ favor.\r\n    </p>\";s:5:\"#rows\";i:20;s:9:\"#required\";b:0;}s:6:\"format\";a:10:{s:5:\"#type\";s:8:\"fieldset\";s:6:\"#title\";s:12:\"Input format\";s:12:\"#collapsible\";b:1;s:10:\"#collapsed\";b:1;s:7:\"#weight\";N;s:17:\"#element_validate\";a:1:{i:0;s:20:\"filter_form_validate\";}i:1;a:7:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"radio\";s:6:\"#title\";s:13:\"Filtered HTML\";s:14:\"#default_value\";s:1:\"3\";s:13:\"#return_value\";s:1:\"1\";s:8:\"#parents\";a:1:{i:0;s:6:\"format\";}s:12:\"#description\";s:306:\"<ul class=\"tips\"><li>Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.</li><li>Allowed HTML tags: &lt;a&gt; &lt;em&gt; &lt;strong&gt; &lt;cite&gt; &lt;code&gt; &lt;ul&gt; &lt;ol&gt; &lt;li&gt; &lt;dl&gt; &lt;dt&gt; &lt;dd&gt;</li><li>Lines and paragraphs break automatically.</li></ul>\";s:3:\"#id\";s:13:\"edit-format-1\";}i:2;a:7:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"radio\";s:6:\"#title\";s:9:\"Full HTML\";s:14:\"#default_value\";s:1:\"3\";s:13:\"#return_value\";s:1:\"2\";s:8:\"#parents\";a:1:{i:0;s:6:\"format\";}s:12:\"#description\";s:151:\"<ul class=\"tips\"><li>Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.</li><li>Lines and paragraphs break automatically.</li></ul>\";s:3:\"#id\";s:13:\"edit-format-2\";}i:3;a:7:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"radio\";s:6:\"#title\";s:8:\"PHP code\";s:14:\"#default_value\";s:1:\"3\";s:13:\"#return_value\";s:1:\"3\";s:8:\"#parents\";a:1:{i:0;s:6:\"format\";}s:12:\"#description\";s:93:\"<ul class=\"tips\"><li>You may post PHP code. 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McDevitt, TLI Founder & CEO\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        From industry events to client visits, one question keeps popping up: “Why do we\r\n        keep hearing about capacity being so tight while the economy is so soft?” I’ve been\r\n        in this industry for over 23 years including three recessions and an incredible\r\n        run in the 90’s and early/mid 2000’s. It was always the case that when the economy\r\n        was doing great, transportation was doing great. When the economy was slowing down\r\n        or stopped, so, too, was the transportation industry. Now, transportation is doing\r\n        great while the economy has stalled. Why…?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        <b>Let’s first look at the numbers:</b>\r\n    </p>\r\n    <dl>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>1) Freight TSI (Transportation Services Index) - a seasonally adjusted index measuring\r\n            ton-miles carried by for-hire trucking, rail, inland waterways, pipelines, and air\r\n            freight carriers. Released by the Transportation Department</p> </dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- June- 108.3 July- 108.3 August – 108.7</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The highest reading since July of 2008</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Peak was 113.3 January of 2005</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>2) Truck Tonnage- (Year 2000 is baseline of 100)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The ATA’s not seasonally-adjusted (NSA) index, which represents the change in\r\n            tonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, was at 123.8 in\r\n            August, well ahead of July’s 111 and in line with June’s 122.3. The August 2010\r\n            NSA index was 113.5, putting the August 2011 NSA up by 9.4 percent.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September- The not seasonally adjusted index, which measures actual tonnage slipped\r\n            3.1% to a reading of 119.5.</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        \r\n        <dt>3) September Purchasing Managers Index- (over 50 is growing)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- PMI = 51.6 “Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September\r\n            for the 26th consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 28th consecutive\r\n            month.” Sluggish, but growing…</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Previous report was 50.6, May 53.5, June 55.3, July 50.9</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>4) Consumer Confidence</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Declined sharply in August, remained essentially unchanged in September. The Index\r\n            now stands at 45.4 (1985=100), up slightly from 45.2 in August.</p>\r\n        </dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: “The\r\n            pessimism that shrouded consumers last month has spilled over into September. Consumer\r\n            expectations, which had plummeted in August, posted a marginal gain. However, consumers\r\n            expressed greater concern about their expected earnings, a sign that does not bode\r\n            well for spending. In addition, consumers’ assessment of current conditions declined\r\n            for the fifth consecutive month, a sign that the economic environment remains weak.”</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n     <p>\r\n        <dt>5) Compared to a year ago diesel prices are up .749 cents. $ 3.83/gallon as of 9/27/11.</dt>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>6) Cass Index- Measures trends in North American shipping activity based on $17\r\n            billion in paid freight expenses of more than a hundred of America’s largest shippers</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September shipments at 1.200 were up 5.0 percent compared to August. They were\r\n            up 7.5 percent compared to September 2010.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September expenditures at 2.388 were up 4.6 percent compared to August and up\r\n            17.6 percent compared to last year, which is roughly half of what annual expenditures\r\n            comparisons have been in previous months prior to August, which was up 15.8 percent\r\n            annually, with January through July averaging 30.9 percent annual increases for\r\n            expenditures.</p></dd>\r\n  \r\n    </dl>\r\n    <p>\r\n        After reading the various indexes, it is easy to conclude that the economy looks\r\n        to be doing better. However, Cass’ conclusion is that “This however, does not suggest\r\n        the beginning of a trend towards more positive economic growth. There are still\r\n        key factors influencing our economy: projected 2011 GDP of roughly 2% or less for\r\n        the next year; and stalled consumer confidence and consumer spending levels.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        Transport Capital Partners’ latest report stated, “more carrier executives aren’t\r\n        as optimistic about the economy rebounding and increasing rates.” Its third quarter\r\n        survey of fleets’ business expectations shows declining confidence in business conditions:\r\n        45% expect volumes to rise from 80% in the second quarter. It was 92% in the first\r\n        quarter.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        So how can we see positive indicators (sluggish but still positive) and hear reports\r\n        weekly about how tight capacity is in the TL and LTL domestic market while more\r\n        carrier executives are saying they aren’t as optimistic about the economy rebounding?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        The answer lies in the change in America from predominantly manufacturing (still\r\n        growing slowly) to predominantly service (contracting). Since manufacturing is now\r\n        the smaller of the two and directly affects transportation, the transportation indexes\r\n        continue to show improvement month over month while the overall economy is showing\r\n        continued high unemployment, low consumer confidence, and lower confidence by business\r\n        executives.\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        In other words, because manufacturing has continued to grow and transportation capacity\r\n        has shrunk due to carrier bankruptcies and downsizing throughout the recession,\r\n        the domestic transportation industry is now enjoying tight capacity, holding rates\r\n        firm and profitable while the overall US economy has shown signs of stalling.\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        In the past, it would be easy to associate a slow economy with a great time to renegotiate\r\n        with the carriers. This isn’t necessarily the case right now but the pendulum may\r\n        be swinging back in the shippers’ favor.\r\n    </p>\";s:6:\"teaser\";s:215:\"    <hr style=\"margin-right: 100px;\" />\r\n    <h1>\r\n        How Can Domestic Transportation Capacity Be So Tight While The Economy Is Sluggish?</h1>\r\n    <p>\r\n        By Scott J. 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McDevitt, TLI Founder & CEO\n    </p>  </div>\n\n  <div class=\"clear-block\">\n    <div class=\"meta\">\n        </div>\n\n      </div>\n\n</div>\n<h3>Preview full version</h3><div id=\"node-74\" class=\"node\">\n\n\n  <h2><a href=\"/node/74\" title=\"article 1\">article 1</a></h2>\n\n  \n  <div class=\"content clear-block\">\n        <hr style=\"margin-right: 100px;\" />\n    <h1>\n        How Can Domestic Transportation Capacity Be So Tight While The Economy Is Sluggish?</h1>\n    <p>\n        By Scott J. McDevitt, TLI Founder & CEO\n    </p>\n    <p>\n        From industry events to client visits, one question keeps popping up: “Why do we\n        keep hearing about capacity being so tight while the economy is so soft?” I’ve been\n        in this industry for over 23 years including three recessions and an incredible\n        run in the 90’s and early/mid 2000’s. It was always the case that when the economy\n        was doing great, transportation was doing great. When the economy was slowing down\n        or stopped, so, too, was the transportation industry. Now, transportation is doing\n        great while the economy has stalled. Why…?\n    </p>\n    <p>\n        <b>Let’s first look at the numbers:</b>\n    </p>\n    <dl>\n        \n        <dt><p>1) Freight TSI (Transportation Services Index) - a seasonally adjusted index measuring\n            ton-miles carried by for-hire trucking, rail, inland waterways, pipelines, and air\n            freight carriers. Released by the Transportation Department</p> </dt>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- June- 108.3 July- 108.3 August – 108.7</p></dd>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- The highest reading since July of 2008</p></dd>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- Peak was 113.3 January of 2005</p></dd>\n        </p>\n        <dt>2) Truck Tonnage- (Year 2000 is baseline of 100)</dt>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- The ATA’s not seasonally-adjusted (NSA) index, which represents the change in\n            tonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, was at 123.8 in\n            August, well ahead of July’s 111 and in line with June’s 122.3. The August 2010\n            NSA index was 113.5, putting the August 2011 NSA up by 9.4 percent.</p></dd>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- September- The not seasonally adjusted index, which measures actual tonnage slipped\n            3.1% to a reading of 119.5.</p></dd>\n        </p>\n        \n        <dt>3) September Purchasing Managers Index- (over 50 is growing)</dt>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- PMI = 51.6 “Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September\n            for the 26th consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 28th consecutive\n            month.” Sluggish, but growing…</p></dd>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- Previous report was 50.6, May 53.5, June 55.3, July 50.9</p></dd>\n        </p>\n        <dt>4) Consumer Confidence</dt>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- Declined sharply in August, remained essentially unchanged in September. The Index\n            now stands at 45.4 (1985=100), up slightly from 45.2 in August.</p>\n        </dd>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: “The\n            pessimism that shrouded consumers last month has spilled over into September. Consumer\n            expectations, which had plummeted in August, posted a marginal gain. However, consumers\n            expressed greater concern about their expected earnings, a sign that does not bode\n            well for spending. In addition, consumers’ assessment of current conditions declined\n            for the fifth consecutive month, a sign that the economic environment remains weak.”</p></dd>\n        </p>\n     <p>\n        <dt>5) Compared to a year ago diesel prices are up .749 cents. $ 3.83/gallon as of 9/27/11.</dt>\n        </p>\n        <dt>6) Cass Index- Measures trends in North American shipping activity based on $17\n            billion in paid freight expenses of more than a hundred of America’s largest shippers</dt>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- September shipments at 1.200 were up 5.0 percent compared to August. They were\n            up 7.5 percent compared to September 2010.</p></dd>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- September expenditures at 2.388 were up 4.6 percent compared to August and up\n            17.6 percent compared to last year, which is roughly half of what annual expenditures\n            comparisons have been in previous months prior to August, which was up 15.8 percent\n            annually, with January through July averaging 30.9 percent annual increases for\n            expenditures.</p></dd>\n  \n    </dl>\n    <p>\n        After reading the various indexes, it is easy to conclude that the economy looks\n        to be doing better. However, Cass’ conclusion is that “This however, does not suggest\n        the beginning of a trend towards more positive economic growth. There are still\n        key factors influencing our economy: projected 2011 GDP of roughly 2% or less for\n        the next year; and stalled consumer confidence and consumer spending levels.”\n    </p>\n    <p>\n        Transport Capital Partners’ latest report stated, “more carrier executives aren’t\n        as optimistic about the economy rebounding and increasing rates.” Its third quarter\n        survey of fleets’ business expectations shows declining confidence in business conditions:\n        45% expect volumes to rise from 80% in the second quarter. It was 92% in the first\n        quarter.”\n    </p>\n    <p>\n        So how can we see positive indicators (sluggish but still positive) and hear reports\n        weekly about how tight capacity is in the TL and LTL domestic market while more\n        carrier executives are saying they aren’t as optimistic about the economy rebounding?\n    </p>\n    <p>\n        The answer lies in the change in America from predominantly manufacturing (still\n        growing slowly) to predominantly service (contracting). Since manufacturing is now\n        the smaller of the two and directly affects transportation, the transportation indexes\n        continue to show improvement month over month while the overall economy is showing\n        continued high unemployment, low consumer confidence, and lower confidence by business\n        executives.\n    </p>\n    <p>\n        In other words, because manufacturing has continued to grow and transportation capacity\n        has shrunk due to carrier bankruptcies and downsizing throughout the recession,\n        the domestic transportation industry is now enjoying tight capacity, holding rates\n        firm and profitable while the overall US economy has shown signs of stalling.\n    </p>\n    <p>\n        In the past, it would be easy to associate a slow economy with a great time to renegotiate\n        with the carriers. This isn’t necessarily the case right now but the pendulum may\n        be swinging back in the shippers’ favor.\n    </p>  </div>\n\n  <div class=\"clear-block\">\n    <div class=\"meta\">\n        </div>\n\n      </div>\n\n</div>\n</div>\n\";s:3:\"#id\";s:9:\"node-form\";s:3:\"nid\";a:2:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"value\";s:6:\"#value\";s:2:\"74\";}s:3:\"vid\";a:2:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"value\";s:6:\"#value\";s:2:\"74\";}s:3:\"uid\";a:2:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"value\";s:6:\"#value\";s:1:\"8\";}s:7:\"created\";a:2:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"value\";s:6:\"#value\";i:1320330019;}s:4:\"type\";a:2:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"value\";s:6:\"#value\";s:4:\"page\";}s:8:\"language\";a:2:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"value\";s:6:\"#value\";s:0:\"\";}s:7:\"changed\";a:2:{s:5:\"#type\";s:6:\"hidden\";s:14:\"#default_value\";s:10:\"1321557733\";}s:5:\"title\";a:6:{s:5:\"#type\";s:9:\"textfield\";s:6:\"#title\";s:5:\"Title\";s:9:\"#required\";b:1;s:14:\"#default_value\";s:9:\"article 1\";s:10:\"#maxlength\";i:255;s:7:\"#weight\";i:-5;}s:10:\"body_field\";a:7:{s:12:\"#after_build\";a:2:{i:0;s:14:\"node_teaser_js\";i:1;s:26:\"node_teaser_include_verify\";}s:7:\"#prefix\";s:32:\"<div class=\"body-field-wrapper\">\";s:7:\"#suffix\";s:6:\"</div>\";s:9:\"teaser_js\";a:5:{s:5:\"#type\";s:8:\"textarea\";s:5:\"#rows\";i:10;s:7:\"#teaser\";s:9:\"edit-body\";s:16:\"#teaser_checkbox\";s:19:\"edit-teaser-include\";s:9:\"#disabled\";b:1;}s:14:\"teaser_include\";a:5:{s:5:\"#type\";s:8:\"checkbox\";s:6:\"#title\";s:25:\"Show summary in full view\";s:14:\"#default_value\";b:1;s:7:\"#prefix\";s:29:\"<div class=\"teaser-checkbox\">\";s:7:\"#suffix\";s:6:\"</div>\";}s:4:\"body\";a:5:{s:5:\"#type\";s:8:\"textarea\";s:6:\"#title\";s:4:\"Body\";s:14:\"#default_value\";s:6777:\"    <hr style=\"margin-right: 100px;\" />\r\n    <h1>\r\n        How Can Domestic Transportation Capacity Be So Tight While The Economy Is Sluggish?</h1>\r\n    <p>\r\n        By Scott J. McDevitt, TLI Founder & CEO\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        From industry events to client visits, one question keeps popping up: “Why do we\r\n        keep hearing about capacity being so tight while the economy is so soft?” I’ve been\r\n        in this industry for over 23 years including three recessions and an incredible\r\n        run in the 90’s and early/mid 2000’s. It was always the case that when the economy\r\n        was doing great, transportation was doing great. When the economy was slowing down\r\n        or stopped, so, too, was the transportation industry. Now, transportation is doing\r\n        great while the economy has stalled. Why…?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        <b>Let’s first look at the numbers:</b>\r\n    </p>\r\n    <dl>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>1) Freight TSI (Transportation Services Index) - a seasonally adjusted index measuring\r\n            ton-miles carried by for-hire trucking, rail, inland waterways, pipelines, and air\r\n            freight carriers. Released by the Transportation Department</p> </dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- June- 108.3 July- 108.3 August – 108.7</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The highest reading since July of 2008</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Peak was 113.3 January of 2005</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>2) Truck Tonnage- (Year 2000 is baseline of 100)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The ATA’s not seasonally-adjusted (NSA) index, which represents the change in\r\n            tonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, was at 123.8 in\r\n            August, well ahead of July’s 111 and in line with June’s 122.3. The August 2010\r\n            NSA index was 113.5, putting the August 2011 NSA up by 9.4 percent.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September- The not seasonally adjusted index, which measures actual tonnage slipped\r\n            3.1% to a reading of 119.5.</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        \r\n        <dt>3) September Purchasing Managers Index- (over 50 is growing)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- PMI = 51.6 “Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September\r\n            for the 26th consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 28th consecutive\r\n            month.” Sluggish, but growing…</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Previous report was 50.6, May 53.5, June 55.3, July 50.9</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>4) Consumer Confidence</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Declined sharply in August, remained essentially unchanged in September. The Index\r\n            now stands at 45.4 (1985=100), up slightly from 45.2 in August.</p>\r\n        </dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: “The\r\n            pessimism that shrouded consumers last month has spilled over into September. Consumer\r\n            expectations, which had plummeted in August, posted a marginal gain. However, consumers\r\n            expressed greater concern about their expected earnings, a sign that does not bode\r\n            well for spending. In addition, consumers’ assessment of current conditions declined\r\n            for the fifth consecutive month, a sign that the economic environment remains weak.”</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n     <p>\r\n        <dt>5) Compared to a year ago diesel prices are up .749 cents. $ 3.83/gallon as of 9/27/11.</dt>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>6) Cass Index- Measures trends in North American shipping activity based on $17\r\n            billion in paid freight expenses of more than a hundred of America’s largest shippers</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September shipments at 1.200 were up 5.0 percent compared to August. They were\r\n            up 7.5 percent compared to September 2010.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September expenditures at 2.388 were up 4.6 percent compared to August and up\r\n            17.6 percent compared to last year, which is roughly half of what annual expenditures\r\n            comparisons have been in previous months prior to August, which was up 15.8 percent\r\n            annually, with January through July averaging 30.9 percent annual increases for\r\n            expenditures.</p></dd>\r\n  \r\n    </dl>\r\n    <p>\r\n        After reading the various indexes, it is easy to conclude that the economy looks\r\n        to be doing better. However, Cass’ conclusion is that “This however, does not suggest\r\n        the beginning of a trend towards more positive economic growth. There are still\r\n        key factors influencing our economy: projected 2011 GDP of roughly 2% or less for\r\n        the next year; and stalled consumer confidence and consumer spending levels.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        Transport Capital Partners’ latest report stated, “more carrier executives aren’t\r\n        as optimistic about the economy rebounding and increasing rates.” Its third quarter\r\n        survey of fleets’ business expectations shows declining confidence in business conditions:\r\n        45% expect volumes to rise from 80% in the second quarter. It was 92% in the first\r\n        quarter.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        So how can we see positive indicators (sluggish but still positive) and hear reports\r\n        weekly about how tight capacity is in the TL and LTL domestic market while more\r\n        carrier executives are saying they aren’t as optimistic about the economy rebounding?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        The answer lies in the change in America from predominantly manufacturing (still\r\n        growing slowly) to predominantly service (contracting). Since manufacturing is now\r\n        the smaller of the two and directly affects transportation, the transportation indexes\r\n        continue to show improvement month over month while the overall economy is showing\r\n        continued high unemployment, low consumer confidence, and lower confidence by business\r\n        executives.\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        In other words, because manufacturing has continued to grow and transportation capacity\r\n        has shrunk due to carrier bankruptcies and downsizing throughout the recession,\r\n        the domestic transportation industry is now enjoying tight capacity, holding rates\r\n        firm and profitable while the overall US economy has shown signs of stalling.\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        In the past, it would be easy to associate a slow economy with a great time to renegotiate\r\n        with the carriers. This isn’t necessarily the case right now but the pendulum may\r\n        be swinging back in the shippers’ favor.\r\n    </p>\";s:5:\"#rows\";i:20;s:9:\"#required\";b:0;}s:6:\"format\";a:10:{s:5:\"#type\";s:8:\"fieldset\";s:6:\"#title\";s:12:\"Input format\";s:12:\"#collapsible\";b:1;s:10:\"#collapsed\";b:1;s:7:\"#weight\";N;s:17:\"#element_validate\";a:1:{i:0;s:20:\"filter_form_validate\";}i:1;a:7:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"radio\";s:6:\"#title\";s:13:\"Filtered HTML\";s:14:\"#default_value\";s:1:\"3\";s:13:\"#return_value\";s:1:\"1\";s:8:\"#parents\";a:1:{i:0;s:6:\"format\";}s:12:\"#description\";s:306:\"<ul class=\"tips\"><li>Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.</li><li>Allowed HTML tags: &lt;a&gt; &lt;em&gt; &lt;strong&gt; &lt;cite&gt; &lt;code&gt; &lt;ul&gt; &lt;ol&gt; &lt;li&gt; &lt;dl&gt; &lt;dt&gt; &lt;dd&gt;</li><li>Lines and paragraphs break automatically.</li></ul>\";s:3:\"#id\";s:13:\"edit-format-1\";}i:2;a:7:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"radio\";s:6:\"#title\";s:9:\"Full HTML\";s:14:\"#default_value\";s:1:\"3\";s:13:\"#return_value\";s:1:\"2\";s:8:\"#parents\";a:1:{i:0;s:6:\"format\";}s:12:\"#description\";s:151:\"<ul class=\"tips\"><li>Web page addresses and e-mail addresses turn into links automatically.</li><li>Lines and paragraphs break automatically.</li></ul>\";s:3:\"#id\";s:13:\"edit-format-2\";}i:3;a:7:{s:5:\"#type\";s:5:\"radio\";s:6:\"#title\";s:8:\"PHP code\";s:14:\"#default_value\";s:1:\"3\";s:13:\"#return_value\";s:1:\"3\";s:8:\"#parents\";a:1:{i:0;s:6:\"format\";}s:12:\"#description\";s:93:\"<ul class=\"tips\"><li>You may post PHP code. 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McDevitt, TLI Founder & CEO\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        From industry events to client visits, one question keeps popping up: “Why do we\r\n        keep hearing about capacity being so tight while the economy is so soft?” I’ve been\r\n        in this industry for over 23 years including three recessions and an incredible\r\n        run in the 90’s and early/mid 2000’s. It was always the case that when the economy\r\n        was doing great, transportation was doing great. When the economy was slowing down\r\n        or stopped, so, too, was the transportation industry. Now, transportation is doing\r\n        great while the economy has stalled. Why…?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        <b>Let’s first look at the numbers:</b>\r\n    </p>\r\n    <dl>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>1) Freight TSI (Transportation Services Index) - a seasonally adjusted index measuring\r\n            ton-miles carried by for-hire trucking, rail, inland waterways, pipelines, and air\r\n            freight carriers. Released by the Transportation Department</p> </dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- June- 108.3 July- 108.3 August – 108.7</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The highest reading since July of 2008</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Peak was 113.3 January of 2005</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>2) Truck Tonnage- (Year 2000 is baseline of 100)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The ATA’s not seasonally-adjusted (NSA) index, which represents the change in\r\n            tonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, was at 123.8 in\r\n            August, well ahead of July’s 111 and in line with June’s 122.3. The August 2010\r\n            NSA index was 113.5, putting the August 2011 NSA up by 9.4 percent.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September- The not seasonally adjusted index, which measures actual tonnage slipped\r\n            3.1% to a reading of 119.5.</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        \r\n        <dt>3) September Purchasing Managers Index- (over 50 is growing)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- PMI = 51.6 “Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September\r\n            for the 26th consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 28th consecutive\r\n            month.” Sluggish, but growing…</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Previous report was 50.6, May 53.5, June 55.3, July 50.9</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>4) Consumer Confidence</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Declined sharply in August, remained essentially unchanged in September. The Index\r\n            now stands at 45.4 (1985=100), up slightly from 45.2 in August.</p>\r\n        </dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: “The\r\n            pessimism that shrouded consumers last month has spilled over into September. Consumer\r\n            expectations, which had plummeted in August, posted a marginal gain. However, consumers\r\n            expressed greater concern about their expected earnings, a sign that does not bode\r\n            well for spending. In addition, consumers’ assessment of current conditions declined\r\n            for the fifth consecutive month, a sign that the economic environment remains weak.”</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n     <p>\r\n        <dt>5) Compared to a year ago diesel prices are up .749 cents. $ 3.83/gallon as of 9/27/11.</dt>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>6) Cass Index- Measures trends in North American shipping activity based on $17\r\n            billion in paid freight expenses of more than a hundred of America’s largest shippers</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September shipments at 1.200 were up 5.0 percent compared to August. They were\r\n            up 7.5 percent compared to September 2010.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September expenditures at 2.388 were up 4.6 percent compared to August and up\r\n            17.6 percent compared to last year, which is roughly half of what annual expenditures\r\n            comparisons have been in previous months prior to August, which was up 15.8 percent\r\n            annually, with January through July averaging 30.9 percent annual increases for\r\n            expenditures.</p></dd>\r\n  \r\n    </dl>\r\n    <p>\r\n        After reading the various indexes, it is easy to conclude that the economy looks\r\n        to be doing better. However, Cass’ conclusion is that “This however, does not suggest\r\n        the beginning of a trend towards more positive economic growth. There are still\r\n        key factors influencing our economy: projected 2011 GDP of roughly 2% or less for\r\n        the next year; and stalled consumer confidence and consumer spending levels.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        Transport Capital Partners’ latest report stated, “more carrier executives aren’t\r\n        as optimistic about the economy rebounding and increasing rates.” Its third quarter\r\n        survey of fleets’ business expectations shows declining confidence in business conditions:\r\n        45% expect volumes to rise from 80% in the second quarter. It was 92% in the first\r\n        quarter.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        So how can we see positive indicators (sluggish but still positive) and hear reports\r\n        weekly about how tight capacity is in the TL and LTL domestic market while more\r\n        carrier executives are saying they aren’t as optimistic about the economy rebounding?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        The answer lies in the change in America from predominantly manufacturing (still\r\n        growing slowly) to predominantly service (contracting). Since manufacturing is now\r\n        the smaller of the two and directly affects transportation, the transportation indexes\r\n        continue to show improvement month over month while the overall economy is showing\r\n        continued high unemployment, low consumer confidence, and lower confidence by business\r\n        executives.\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        In other words, because manufacturing has continued to grow and transportation capacity\r\n        has shrunk due to carrier bankruptcies and downsizing throughout the recession,\r\n        the domestic transportation industry is now enjoying tight capacity, holding rates\r\n        firm and profitable while the overall US economy has shown signs of stalling.\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        In the past, it would be easy to associate a slow economy with a great time to renegotiate\r\n        with the carriers. This isn’t necessarily the case right now but the pendulum may\r\n        be swinging back in the shippers’ favor.\r\n    </p>\";s:6:\"format\";s:1:\"3\";s:8:\"revision\";i:0;s:3:\"log\";s:0:\"\";s:4:\"name\";s:9:\"bmcdevitt\";s:4:\"date\";s:25:\"2011-11-03 10:20:19 -0400\";s:6:\"status\";i:1;s:7:\"promote\";i:0;s:6:\"sticky\";i:0;s:6:\"submit\";s:4:\"Save\";s:2:\"op\";s:7:\"Preview\";s:7:\"preview\";s:7:\"Preview\";s:6:\"delete\";s:6:\"Delete\";s:13:\"form_build_id\";s:37:\"form-f00a7552bd5fc57830696017cbf8d5ff\";s:10:\"form_token\";s:32:\"9e8aebbbe23ca5540503590073167f64\";s:7:\"form_id\";s:14:\"page_node_form\";s:7:\"comment\";s:1:\"0\";s:4:\"menu\";a:13:{s:4:\"mlid\";i:0;s:6:\"module\";s:4:\"menu\";s:6:\"hidden\";i:0;s:12:\"has_children\";i:0;s:10:\"customized\";i:0;s:7:\"options\";a:0:{}s:8:\"expanded\";i:0;s:18:\"parent_depth_limit\";i:8;s:10:\"link_title\";s:0:\"\";s:6:\"parent\";s:15:\"primary-links:0\";s:6:\"weight\";s:1:\"0\";s:4:\"plid\";s:1:\"0\";s:9:\"menu_name\";s:13:\"primary-links\";}s:4:\"path\";s:0:\"\";s:6:\"teaser\";s:215:\"    <hr style=\"margin-right: 100px;\" />\r\n    <h1>\r\n        How Can Domestic Transportation Capacity Be So Tight While The Economy Is Sluggish?</h1>\r\n    <p>\r\n        By Scott J. 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McDevitt, TLI Founder & CEO\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        From industry events to client visits, one question keeps popping up: “Why do we\r\n        keep hearing about capacity being so tight while the economy is so soft?” I’ve been\r\n        in this industry for over 23 years including three recessions and an incredible\r\n        run in the 90’s and early/mid 2000’s. It was always the case that when the economy\r\n        was doing great, transportation was doing great. When the economy was slowing down\r\n        or stopped, so, too, was the transportation industry. Now, transportation is doing\r\n        great while the economy has stalled. Why…?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        <b>Let’s first look at the numbers:</b>\r\n    </p>\r\n    <dl>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>1) Freight TSI (Transportation Services Index) - a seasonally adjusted index measuring\r\n            ton-miles carried by for-hire trucking, rail, inland waterways, pipelines, and air\r\n            freight carriers. Released by the Transportation Department</p> </dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- June- 108.3 July- 108.3 August – 108.7</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The highest reading since July of 2008</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Peak was 113.3 January of 2005</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>2) Truck Tonnage- (Year 2000 is baseline of 100)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The ATA’s not seasonally-adjusted (NSA) index, which represents the change in\r\n            tonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, was at 123.8 in\r\n            August, well ahead of July’s 111 and in line with June’s 122.3. The August 2010\r\n            NSA index was 113.5, putting the August 2011 NSA up by 9.4 percent.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September- The not seasonally adjusted index, which measures actual tonnage slipped\r\n            3.1% to a reading of 119.5.</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        \r\n        <dt>3) September Purchasing Managers Index- (over 50 is growing)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- PMI = 51.6 “Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September\r\n            for the 26th consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 28th consecutive\r\n            month.” Sluggish, but growing…</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Previous report was 50.6, May 53.5, June 55.3, July 50.9</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>4) Consumer Confidence</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Declined sharply in August, remained essentially unchanged in September. The Index\r\n            now stands at 45.4 (1985=100), up slightly from 45.2 in August.</p>\r\n        </dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: “The\r\n            pessimism that shrouded consumers last month has spilled over into September. Consumer\r\n            expectations, which had plummeted in August, posted a marginal gain. However, consumers\r\n            expressed greater concern about their expected earnings, a sign that does not bode\r\n            well for spending. In addition, consumers’ assessment of current conditions declined\r\n            for the fifth consecutive month, a sign that the economic environment remains weak.”</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n     <p>\r\n        <dt>5) Compared to a year ago diesel prices are up .749 cents. $ 3.83/gallon as of 9/27/11.</dt>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>6) Cass Index- Measures trends in North American shipping activity based on $17\r\n            billion in paid freight expenses of more than a hundred of America’s largest shippers</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September shipments at 1.200 were up 5.0 percent compared to August. They were\r\n            up 7.5 percent compared to September 2010.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September expenditures at 2.388 were up 4.6 percent compared to August and up\r\n            17.6 percent compared to last year, which is roughly half of what annual expenditures\r\n            comparisons have been in previous months prior to August, which was up 15.8 percent\r\n            annually, with January through July averaging 30.9 percent annual increases for\r\n            expenditures.</p></dd>\r\n  \r\n    </dl>\r\n    <p>\r\n        After reading the various indexes, it is easy to conclude that the economy looks\r\n        to be doing better. However, Cass’ conclusion is that “This however, does not suggest\r\n        the beginning of a trend towards more positive economic growth. There are still\r\n        key factors influencing our economy: projected 2011 GDP of roughly 2% or less for\r\n        the next year; and stalled consumer confidence and consumer spending levels.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        Transport Capital Partners’ latest report stated, “more carrier executives aren’t\r\n        as optimistic about the economy rebounding and increasing rates.” Its third quarter\r\n        survey of fleets’ business expectations shows declining confidence in business conditions:\r\n        45% expect volumes to rise from 80% in the second quarter. It was 92% in the first\r\n        quarter.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        So how can we see positive indicators (sluggish but still positive) and hear reports\r\n        weekly about how tight capacity is in the TL and LTL domestic market while more\r\n        carrier executives are saying they aren’t as optimistic about the economy rebounding?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        The answer lies in the change in America from predominantly manufacturing (still\r\n        growing slowly) to predominantly service (contracting). Since manufacturing is now\r\n        the smaller of the two and directly affects transportation, the transportation indexes\r\n        continue to show improvement month over month while the overall economy is showing\r\n        continued high unemployment, low consumer confidence, and lower confidence by business\r\n        executives.\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        In other words, because manufacturing has continued to grow and transportation capacity\r\n        has shrunk due to carrier bankruptcies and downsizing throughout the recession,\r\n        the domestic transportation industry is now enjoying tight capacity, holding rates\r\n        firm and profitable while the overall US economy has shown signs of stalling.\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        In the past, it would be easy to associate a slow economy with a great time to renegotiate\r\n        with the carriers. This isn’t necessarily the case right now but the pendulum may\r\n        be swinging back in the shippers’ favor.\r\n    </p>\";s:6:\"format\";s:1:\"3\";s:8:\"revision\";i:0;s:3:\"log\";s:0:\"\";s:4:\"name\";s:9:\"bmcdevitt\";s:4:\"date\";s:25:\"2011-11-03 10:20:19 -0400\";s:6:\"status\";i:1;s:7:\"promote\";i:0;s:6:\"sticky\";i:0;s:6:\"submit\";s:4:\"Save\";s:2:\"op\";s:7:\"Preview\";s:7:\"preview\";s:7:\"Preview\";s:6:\"delete\";s:6:\"Delete\";s:13:\"form_build_id\";s:37:\"form-f00a7552bd5fc57830696017cbf8d5ff\";s:10:\"form_token\";s:32:\"9e8aebbbe23ca5540503590073167f64\";s:7:\"form_id\";s:14:\"page_node_form\";s:7:\"comment\";s:1:\"0\";s:4:\"menu\";a:13:{s:4:\"mlid\";i:0;s:6:\"module\";s:4:\"menu\";s:6:\"hidden\";i:0;s:12:\"has_children\";i:0;s:10:\"customized\";i:0;s:7:\"options\";a:0:{}s:8:\"expanded\";i:0;s:18:\"parent_depth_limit\";i:8;s:10:\"link_title\";s:0:\"\";s:6:\"parent\";s:15:\"primary-links:0\";s:6:\"weight\";s:1:\"0\";s:4:\"plid\";s:1:\"0\";s:9:\"menu_name\";s:13:\"primary-links\";}s:4:\"path\";s:0:\"\";}s:14:\"clicked_button\";a:19:{s:5:\"#type\";s:6:\"submit\";s:6:\"#value\";s:7:\"Preview\";s:7:\"#weight\";i:10;s:7:\"#submit\";a:1:{i:0;s:23:\"node_form_build_preview\";}s:5:\"#post\";a:16:{s:5:\"title\";s:9:\"article 1\";s:4:\"menu\";a:3:{s:10:\"link_title\";s:0:\"\";s:6:\"parent\";s:15:\"primary-links:0\";s:6:\"weight\";s:1:\"0\";}s:14:\"teaser_include\";s:1:\"1\";s:4:\"body\";s:6777:\"    <hr style=\"margin-right: 100px;\" />\r\n    <h1>\r\n        How Can Domestic Transportation Capacity Be So Tight While The Economy Is Sluggish?</h1>\r\n    <p>\r\n        By Scott J. McDevitt, TLI Founder & CEO\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        From industry events to client visits, one question keeps popping up: “Why do we\r\n        keep hearing about capacity being so tight while the economy is so soft?” I’ve been\r\n        in this industry for over 23 years including three recessions and an incredible\r\n        run in the 90’s and early/mid 2000’s. It was always the case that when the economy\r\n        was doing great, transportation was doing great. When the economy was slowing down\r\n        or stopped, so, too, was the transportation industry. Now, transportation is doing\r\n        great while the economy has stalled. Why…?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        <b>Let’s first look at the numbers:</b>\r\n    </p>\r\n    <dl>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>1) Freight TSI (Transportation Services Index) - a seasonally adjusted index measuring\r\n            ton-miles carried by for-hire trucking, rail, inland waterways, pipelines, and air\r\n            freight carriers. Released by the Transportation Department</p> </dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- June- 108.3 July- 108.3 August – 108.7</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The highest reading since July of 2008</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Peak was 113.3 January of 2005</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>2) Truck Tonnage- (Year 2000 is baseline of 100)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The ATA’s not seasonally-adjusted (NSA) index, which represents the change in\r\n            tonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, was at 123.8 in\r\n            August, well ahead of July’s 111 and in line with June’s 122.3. The August 2010\r\n            NSA index was 113.5, putting the August 2011 NSA up by 9.4 percent.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September- The not seasonally adjusted index, which measures actual tonnage slipped\r\n            3.1% to a reading of 119.5.</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        \r\n        <dt>3) September Purchasing Managers Index- (over 50 is growing)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- PMI = 51.6 “Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September\r\n            for the 26th consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 28th consecutive\r\n            month.” Sluggish, but growing…</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Previous report was 50.6, May 53.5, June 55.3, July 50.9</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>4) Consumer Confidence</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Declined sharply in August, remained essentially unchanged in September. The Index\r\n            now stands at 45.4 (1985=100), up slightly from 45.2 in August.</p>\r\n        </dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: “The\r\n            pessimism that shrouded consumers last month has spilled over into September. Consumer\r\n            expectations, which had plummeted in August, posted a marginal gain. However, consumers\r\n            expressed greater concern about their expected earnings, a sign that does not bode\r\n            well for spending. In addition, consumers’ assessment of current conditions declined\r\n            for the fifth consecutive month, a sign that the economic environment remains weak.”</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n     <p>\r\n        <dt>5) Compared to a year ago diesel prices are up .749 cents. $ 3.83/gallon as of 9/27/11.</dt>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>6) Cass Index- Measures trends in North American shipping activity based on $17\r\n            billion in paid freight expenses of more than a hundred of America’s largest shippers</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September shipments at 1.200 were up 5.0 percent compared to August. They were\r\n            up 7.5 percent compared to September 2010.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September expenditures at 2.388 were up 4.6 percent compared to August and up\r\n            17.6 percent compared to last year, which is roughly half of what annual expenditures\r\n            comparisons have been in previous months prior to August, which was up 15.8 percent\r\n            annually, with January through July averaging 30.9 percent annual increases for\r\n            expenditures.</p></dd>\r\n  \r\n    </dl>\r\n    <p>\r\n        After reading the various indexes, it is easy to conclude that the economy looks\r\n        to be doing better. However, Cass’ conclusion is that “This however, does not suggest\r\n        the beginning of a trend towards more positive economic growth. There are still\r\n        key factors influencing our economy: projected 2011 GDP of roughly 2% or less for\r\n        the next year; and stalled consumer confidence and consumer spending levels.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        Transport Capital Partners’ latest report stated, “more carrier executives aren’t\r\n        as optimistic about the economy rebounding and increasing rates.” Its third quarter\r\n        survey of fleets’ business expectations shows declining confidence in business conditions:\r\n        45% expect volumes to rise from 80% in the second quarter. It was 92% in the first\r\n        quarter.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        So how can we see positive indicators (sluggish but still positive) and hear reports\r\n        weekly about how tight capacity is in the TL and LTL domestic market while more\r\n        carrier executives are saying they aren’t as optimistic about the economy rebounding?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        The answer lies in the change in America from predominantly manufacturing (still\r\n        growing slowly) to predominantly service (contracting). Since manufacturing is now\r\n        the smaller of the two and directly affects transportation, the transportation indexes\r\n        continue to show improvement month over month while the overall economy is showing\r\n        continued high unemployment, low consumer confidence, and lower confidence by business\r\n        executives.\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        In other words, because manufacturing has continued to grow and transportation capacity\r\n        has shrunk due to carrier bankruptcies and downsizing throughout the recession,\r\n        the domestic transportation industry is now enjoying tight capacity, holding rates\r\n        firm and profitable while the overall US economy has shown signs of stalling.\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        In the past, it would be easy to associate a slow economy with a great time to renegotiate\r\n        with the carriers. This isn’t necessarily the case right now but the pendulum may\r\n        be swinging back in the shippers’ favor.\r\n    </p>\";s:6:\"format\";s:1:\"3\";s:7:\"changed\";s:10:\"1321557733\";s:13:\"form_build_id\";s:37:\"form-f00a7552bd5fc57830696017cbf8d5ff\";s:10:\"form_token\";s:32:\"9e8aebbbe23ca5540503590073167f64\";s:7:\"form_id\";s:14:\"page_node_form\";s:3:\"log\";s:0:\"\";s:7:\"comment\";s:1:\"0\";s:4:\"path\";s:0:\"\";s:4:\"name\";s:9:\"bmcdevitt\";s:4:\"date\";s:25:\"2011-11-03 10:20:19 -0400\";s:6:\"status\";s:1:\"1\";s:2:\"op\";s:7:\"Preview\";}s:11:\"#programmed\";b:0;s:5:\"#tree\";b:0;s:8:\"#parents\";a:1:{i:0;s:7:\"preview\";}s:14:\"#array_parents\";a:2:{i:0;s:7:\"buttons\";i:1;s:7:\"preview\";}s:10:\"#processed\";b:0;s:12:\"#description\";N;s:11:\"#attributes\";a:0:{}s:9:\"#required\";b:0;s:6:\"#input\";b:1;s:5:\"#name\";s:2:\"op\";s:12:\"#button_type\";s:6:\"submit\";s:25:\"#executes_submit_callback\";b:1;s:8:\"#process\";a:1:{i:0;s:16:\"form_expand_ahah\";}s:3:\"#id\";s:12:\"edit-preview\";}s:13:\"process_input\";b:1;s:8:\"redirect\";N;s:4:\"node\";a:31:{s:3:\"nid\";s:2:\"74\";s:3:\"vid\";s:2:\"74\";s:3:\"uid\";s:1:\"8\";s:7:\"created\";i:1320330019;s:4:\"type\";s:4:\"page\";s:8:\"language\";s:0:\"\";s:7:\"changed\";s:10:\"1321557733\";s:5:\"title\";s:9:\"article 1\";s:9:\"teaser_js\";s:0:\"\";s:14:\"teaser_include\";i:1;s:4:\"body\";s:6777:\"    <hr style=\"margin-right: 100px;\" />\r\n    <h1>\r\n        How Can Domestic Transportation Capacity Be So Tight While The Economy Is Sluggish?</h1>\r\n    <p>\r\n        By Scott J. McDevitt, TLI Founder & CEO\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        From industry events to client visits, one question keeps popping up: “Why do we\r\n        keep hearing about capacity being so tight while the economy is so soft?” I’ve been\r\n        in this industry for over 23 years including three recessions and an incredible\r\n        run in the 90’s and early/mid 2000’s. It was always the case that when the economy\r\n        was doing great, transportation was doing great. When the economy was slowing down\r\n        or stopped, so, too, was the transportation industry. Now, transportation is doing\r\n        great while the economy has stalled. Why…?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        <b>Let’s first look at the numbers:</b>\r\n    </p>\r\n    <dl>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>1) Freight TSI (Transportation Services Index) - a seasonally adjusted index measuring\r\n            ton-miles carried by for-hire trucking, rail, inland waterways, pipelines, and air\r\n            freight carriers. Released by the Transportation Department</p> </dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- June- 108.3 July- 108.3 August – 108.7</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The highest reading since July of 2008</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Peak was 113.3 January of 2005</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>2) Truck Tonnage- (Year 2000 is baseline of 100)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The ATA’s not seasonally-adjusted (NSA) index, which represents the change in\r\n            tonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, was at 123.8 in\r\n            August, well ahead of July’s 111 and in line with June’s 122.3. The August 2010\r\n            NSA index was 113.5, putting the August 2011 NSA up by 9.4 percent.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September- The not seasonally adjusted index, which measures actual tonnage slipped\r\n            3.1% to a reading of 119.5.</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        \r\n        <dt>3) September Purchasing Managers Index- (over 50 is growing)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- PMI = 51.6 “Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September\r\n            for the 26th consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 28th consecutive\r\n            month.” Sluggish, but growing…</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Previous report was 50.6, May 53.5, June 55.3, July 50.9</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>4) Consumer Confidence</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Declined sharply in August, remained essentially unchanged in September. The Index\r\n            now stands at 45.4 (1985=100), up slightly from 45.2 in August.</p>\r\n        </dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: “The\r\n            pessimism that shrouded consumers last month has spilled over into September. Consumer\r\n            expectations, which had plummeted in August, posted a marginal gain. However, consumers\r\n            expressed greater concern about their expected earnings, a sign that does not bode\r\n            well for spending. In addition, consumers’ assessment of current conditions declined\r\n            for the fifth consecutive month, a sign that the economic environment remains weak.”</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n     <p>\r\n        <dt>5) Compared to a year ago diesel prices are up .749 cents. $ 3.83/gallon as of 9/27/11.</dt>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>6) Cass Index- Measures trends in North American shipping activity based on $17\r\n            billion in paid freight expenses of more than a hundred of America’s largest shippers</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September shipments at 1.200 were up 5.0 percent compared to August. They were\r\n            up 7.5 percent compared to September 2010.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September expenditures at 2.388 were up 4.6 percent compared to August and up\r\n            17.6 percent compared to last year, which is roughly half of what annual expenditures\r\n            comparisons have been in previous months prior to August, which was up 15.8 percent\r\n            annually, with January through July averaging 30.9 percent annual increases for\r\n            expenditures.</p></dd>\r\n  \r\n    </dl>\r\n    <p>\r\n        After reading the various indexes, it is easy to conclude that the economy looks\r\n        to be doing better. However, Cass’ conclusion is that “This however, does not suggest\r\n        the beginning of a trend towards more positive economic growth. There are still\r\n        key factors influencing our economy: projected 2011 GDP of roughly 2% or less for\r\n        the next year; and stalled consumer confidence and consumer spending levels.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        Transport Capital Partners’ latest report stated, “more carrier executives aren’t\r\n        as optimistic about the economy rebounding and increasing rates.” Its third quarter\r\n        survey of fleets’ business expectations shows declining confidence in business conditions:\r\n        45% expect volumes to rise from 80% in the second quarter. It was 92% in the first\r\n        quarter.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        So how can we see positive indicators (sluggish but still positive) and hear reports\r\n        weekly about how tight capacity is in the TL and LTL domestic market while more\r\n        carrier executives are saying they aren’t as optimistic about the economy rebounding?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        The answer lies in the change in America from predominantly manufacturing (still\r\n        growing slowly) to predominantly service (contracting). Since manufacturing is now\r\n        the smaller of the two and directly affects transportation, the transportation indexes\r\n        continue to show improvement month over month while the overall economy is showing\r\n        continued high unemployment, low consumer confidence, and lower confidence by business\r\n        executives.\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        In other words, because manufacturing has continued to grow and transportation capacity\r\n        has shrunk due to carrier bankruptcies and downsizing throughout the recession,\r\n        the domestic transportation industry is now enjoying tight capacity, holding rates\r\n        firm and profitable while the overall US economy has shown signs of stalling.\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        In the past, it would be easy to associate a slow economy with a great time to renegotiate\r\n        with the carriers. This isn’t necessarily the case right now but the pendulum may\r\n        be swinging back in the shippers’ favor.\r\n    </p>\";s:6:\"format\";s:1:\"3\";s:8:\"revision\";i:0;s:3:\"log\";s:0:\"\";s:4:\"name\";s:9:\"bmcdevitt\";s:4:\"date\";s:25:\"2011-11-03 10:20:19 -0400\";s:6:\"status\";i:1;s:7:\"promote\";i:0;s:6:\"sticky\";i:0;s:6:\"submit\";s:4:\"Save\";s:2:\"op\";s:7:\"Preview\";s:7:\"preview\";s:7:\"Preview\";s:6:\"delete\";s:6:\"Delete\";s:13:\"form_build_id\";s:37:\"form-f00a7552bd5fc57830696017cbf8d5ff\";s:10:\"form_token\";s:32:\"9e8aebbbe23ca5540503590073167f64\";s:7:\"form_id\";s:14:\"page_node_form\";s:7:\"comment\";s:1:\"0\";s:4:\"menu\";a:13:{s:4:\"mlid\";i:0;s:6:\"module\";s:4:\"menu\";s:6:\"hidden\";i:0;s:12:\"has_children\";i:0;s:10:\"customized\";i:0;s:7:\"options\";a:0:{}s:8:\"expanded\";i:0;s:18:\"parent_depth_limit\";i:8;s:10:\"link_title\";s:0:\"\";s:6:\"parent\";s:15:\"primary-links:0\";s:6:\"weight\";s:1:\"0\";s:4:\"plid\";s:1:\"0\";s:9:\"menu_name\";s:13:\"primary-links\";}s:4:\"path\";s:0:\"\";s:6:\"teaser\";s:215:\"    <hr style=\"margin-right: 100px;\" />\r\n    <h1>\r\n        How Can Domestic Transportation Capacity Be So Tight While The Economy Is Sluggish?</h1>\r\n    <p>\r\n        By Scott J. McDevitt, TLI Founder & CEO\r\n    </p>\";s:9:\"validated\";b:1;}s:7:\"rebuild\";b:1;s:12:\"node_preview\";s:7437:\"<div class=\"preview\"><h3>Preview trimmed version</h3><div id=\"node-74\" class=\"node\">\n\n\n  <h2><a href=\"/node/74\" title=\"article 1\">article 1</a></h2>\n\n  \n  <div class=\"content clear-block\">\n        <hr style=\"margin-right: 100px;\" />\n    <h1>\n        How Can Domestic Transportation Capacity Be So Tight While The Economy Is Sluggish?</h1>\n    <p>\n        By Scott J. McDevitt, TLI Founder & CEO\n    </p>  </div>\n\n  <div class=\"clear-block\">\n    <div class=\"meta\">\n        </div>\n\n      </div>\n\n</div>\n<h3>Preview full version</h3><div id=\"node-74\" class=\"node\">\n\n\n  <h2><a href=\"/node/74\" title=\"article 1\">article 1</a></h2>\n\n  \n  <div class=\"content clear-block\">\n        <hr style=\"margin-right: 100px;\" />\n    <h1>\n        How Can Domestic Transportation Capacity Be So Tight While The Economy Is Sluggish?</h1>\n    <p>\n        By Scott J. McDevitt, TLI Founder & CEO\n    </p>\n    <p>\n        From industry events to client visits, one question keeps popping up: “Why do we\n        keep hearing about capacity being so tight while the economy is so soft?” I’ve been\n        in this industry for over 23 years including three recessions and an incredible\n        run in the 90’s and early/mid 2000’s. It was always the case that when the economy\n        was doing great, transportation was doing great. When the economy was slowing down\n        or stopped, so, too, was the transportation industry. Now, transportation is doing\n        great while the economy has stalled. Why…?\n    </p>\n    <p>\n        <b>Let’s first look at the numbers:</b>\n    </p>\n    <dl>\n        \n        <dt><p>1) Freight TSI (Transportation Services Index) - a seasonally adjusted index measuring\n            ton-miles carried by for-hire trucking, rail, inland waterways, pipelines, and air\n            freight carriers. Released by the Transportation Department</p> </dt>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- June- 108.3 July- 108.3 August – 108.7</p></dd>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- The highest reading since July of 2008</p></dd>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- Peak was 113.3 January of 2005</p></dd>\n        </p>\n        <dt>2) Truck Tonnage- (Year 2000 is baseline of 100)</dt>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- The ATA’s not seasonally-adjusted (NSA) index, which represents the change in\n            tonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, was at 123.8 in\n            August, well ahead of July’s 111 and in line with June’s 122.3. The August 2010\n            NSA index was 113.5, putting the August 2011 NSA up by 9.4 percent.</p></dd>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- September- The not seasonally adjusted index, which measures actual tonnage slipped\n            3.1% to a reading of 119.5.</p></dd>\n        </p>\n        \n        <dt>3) September Purchasing Managers Index- (over 50 is growing)</dt>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- PMI = 51.6 “Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September\n            for the 26th consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 28th consecutive\n            month.” Sluggish, but growing…</p></dd>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- Previous report was 50.6, May 53.5, June 55.3, July 50.9</p></dd>\n        </p>\n        <dt>4) Consumer Confidence</dt>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- Declined sharply in August, remained essentially unchanged in September. The Index\n            now stands at 45.4 (1985=100), up slightly from 45.2 in August.</p>\n        </dd>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: “The\n            pessimism that shrouded consumers last month has spilled over into September. Consumer\n            expectations, which had plummeted in August, posted a marginal gain. However, consumers\n            expressed greater concern about their expected earnings, a sign that does not bode\n            well for spending. In addition, consumers’ assessment of current conditions declined\n            for the fifth consecutive month, a sign that the economic environment remains weak.”</p></dd>\n        </p>\n     <p>\n        <dt>5) Compared to a year ago diesel prices are up .749 cents. $ 3.83/gallon as of 9/27/11.</dt>\n        </p>\n        <dt>6) Cass Index- Measures trends in North American shipping activity based on $17\n            billion in paid freight expenses of more than a hundred of America’s largest shippers</dt>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- September shipments at 1.200 were up 5.0 percent compared to August. They were\n            up 7.5 percent compared to September 2010.</p></dd>\n        <dd>\n            <p>- September expenditures at 2.388 were up 4.6 percent compared to August and up\n            17.6 percent compared to last year, which is roughly half of what annual expenditures\n            comparisons have been in previous months prior to August, which was up 15.8 percent\n            annually, with January through July averaging 30.9 percent annual increases for\n            expenditures.</p></dd>\n  \n    </dl>\n    <p>\n        After reading the various indexes, it is easy to conclude that the economy looks\n        to be doing better. However, Cass’ conclusion is that “This however, does not suggest\n        the beginning of a trend towards more positive economic growth. There are still\n        key factors influencing our economy: projected 2011 GDP of roughly 2% or less for\n        the next year; and stalled consumer confidence and consumer spending levels.”\n    </p>\n    <p>\n        Transport Capital Partners’ latest report stated, “more carrier executives aren’t\n        as optimistic about the economy rebounding and increasing rates.” Its third quarter\n        survey of fleets’ business expectations shows declining confidence in business conditions:\n        45% expect volumes to rise from 80% in the second quarter. It was 92% in the first\n        quarter.”\n    </p>\n    <p>\n        So how can we see positive indicators (sluggish but still positive) and hear reports\n        weekly about how tight capacity is in the TL and LTL domestic market while more\n        carrier executives are saying they aren’t as optimistic about the economy rebounding?\n    </p>\n    <p>\n        The answer lies in the change in America from predominantly manufacturing (still\n        growing slowly) to predominantly service (contracting). Since manufacturing is now\n        the smaller of the two and directly affects transportation, the transportation indexes\n        continue to show improvement month over month while the overall economy is showing\n        continued high unemployment, low consumer confidence, and lower confidence by business\n        executives.\n    </p>\n    <p>\n        In other words, because manufacturing has continued to grow and transportation capacity\n        has shrunk due to carrier bankruptcies and downsizing throughout the recession,\n        the domestic transportation industry is now enjoying tight capacity, holding rates\n        firm and profitable while the overall US economy has shown signs of stalling.\n    </p>\n    <p>\n        In the past, it would be easy to associate a slow economy with a great time to renegotiate\n        with the carriers. This isn’t necessarily the case right now but the pendulum may\n        be swinging back in the shippers’ favor.\n    </p>  </div>\n\n  <div class=\"clear-block\">\n    <div class=\"meta\">\n        </div>\n\n      </div>\n\n</div>\n</div>\n\";}i:2;O:8:\"stdClass\":28:{s:3:\"nid\";s:2:\"74\";s:4:\"type\";s:4:\"page\";s:8:\"language\";s:0:\"\";s:3:\"uid\";s:1:\"8\";s:6:\"status\";s:1:\"1\";s:7:\"created\";s:10:\"1320330019\";s:7:\"changed\";s:10:\"1321557733\";s:7:\"comment\";s:1:\"0\";s:7:\"promote\";s:1:\"0\";s:8:\"moderate\";s:1:\"0\";s:6:\"sticky\";s:1:\"0\";s:4:\"tnid\";s:1:\"0\";s:9:\"translate\";s:1:\"0\";s:3:\"vid\";s:2:\"74\";s:12:\"revision_uid\";s:2:\"13\";s:5:\"title\";s:9:\"article 1\";s:4:\"body\";s:6777:\"    <hr style=\"margin-right: 100px;\" />\r\n    <h1>\r\n        How Can Domestic Transportation Capacity Be So Tight While The Economy Is Sluggish?</h1>\r\n    <p>\r\n        By Scott J. McDevitt, TLI Founder & CEO\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        From industry events to client visits, one question keeps popping up: “Why do we\r\n        keep hearing about capacity being so tight while the economy is so soft?” I’ve been\r\n        in this industry for over 23 years including three recessions and an incredible\r\n        run in the 90’s and early/mid 2000’s. It was always the case that when the economy\r\n        was doing great, transportation was doing great. When the economy was slowing down\r\n        or stopped, so, too, was the transportation industry. Now, transportation is doing\r\n        great while the economy has stalled. Why…?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        <b>Let’s first look at the numbers:</b>\r\n    </p>\r\n    <dl>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>1) Freight TSI (Transportation Services Index) - a seasonally adjusted index measuring\r\n            ton-miles carried by for-hire trucking, rail, inland waterways, pipelines, and air\r\n            freight carriers. Released by the Transportation Department</p> </dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- June- 108.3 July- 108.3 August – 108.7</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The highest reading since July of 2008</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Peak was 113.3 January of 2005</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>2) Truck Tonnage- (Year 2000 is baseline of 100)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The ATA’s not seasonally-adjusted (NSA) index, which represents the change in\r\n            tonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, was at 123.8 in\r\n            August, well ahead of July’s 111 and in line with June’s 122.3. The August 2010\r\n            NSA index was 113.5, putting the August 2011 NSA up by 9.4 percent.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September- The not seasonally adjusted index, which measures actual tonnage slipped\r\n            3.1% to a reading of 119.5.</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        \r\n        <dt>3) September Purchasing Managers Index- (over 50 is growing)</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- PMI = 51.6 “Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September\r\n            for the 26th consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 28th consecutive\r\n            month.” Sluggish, but growing…</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Previous report was 50.6, May 53.5, June 55.3, July 50.9</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>4) Consumer Confidence</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Declined sharply in August, remained essentially unchanged in September. The Index\r\n            now stands at 45.4 (1985=100), up slightly from 45.2 in August.</p>\r\n        </dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: “The\r\n            pessimism that shrouded consumers last month has spilled over into September. Consumer\r\n            expectations, which had plummeted in August, posted a marginal gain. However, consumers\r\n            expressed greater concern about their expected earnings, a sign that does not bode\r\n            well for spending. In addition, consumers’ assessment of current conditions declined\r\n            for the fifth consecutive month, a sign that the economic environment remains weak.”</p></dd>\r\n        </p>\r\n     <p>\r\n        <dt>5) Compared to a year ago diesel prices are up .749 cents. $ 3.83/gallon as of 9/27/11.</dt>\r\n        </p>\r\n        <dt>6) Cass Index- Measures trends in North American shipping activity based on $17\r\n            billion in paid freight expenses of more than a hundred of America’s largest shippers</dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September shipments at 1.200 were up 5.0 percent compared to August. They were\r\n            up 7.5 percent compared to September 2010.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September expenditures at 2.388 were up 4.6 percent compared to August and up\r\n            17.6 percent compared to last year, which is roughly half of what annual expenditures\r\n            comparisons have been in previous months prior to August, which was up 15.8 percent\r\n            annually, with January through July averaging 30.9 percent annual increases for\r\n            expenditures.</p></dd>\r\n  \r\n    </dl>\r\n    <p>\r\n        After reading the various indexes, it is easy to conclude that the economy looks\r\n        to be doing better. However, Cass’ conclusion is that “This however, does not suggest\r\n        the beginning of a trend towards more positive economic growth. There are still\r\n        key factors influencing our economy: projected 2011 GDP of roughly 2% or less for\r\n        the next year; and stalled consumer confidence and consumer spending levels.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        Transport Capital Partners’ latest report stated, “more carrier executives aren’t\r\n        as optimistic about the economy rebounding and increasing rates.” Its third quarter\r\n        survey of fleets’ business expectations shows declining confidence in business conditions:\r\n        45% expect volumes to rise from 80% in the second quarter. It was 92% in the first\r\n        quarter.”\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        So how can we see positive indicators (sluggish but still positive) and hear reports\r\n        weekly about how tight capacity is in the TL and LTL domestic market while more\r\n        carrier executives are saying they aren’t as optimistic about the economy rebounding?\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        The answer lies in the change in America from predominantly manufacturing (still\r\n        growing slowly) to predominantly service (contracting). Since manufacturing is now\r\n        the smaller of the two and directly affects transportation, the transportation indexes\r\n        continue to show improvement month over month while the overall economy is showing\r\n        continued high unemployment, low consumer confidence, and lower confidence by business\r\n        executives.\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        In other words, because manufacturing has continued to grow and transportation capacity\r\n        has shrunk due to carrier bankruptcies and downsizing throughout the recession,\r\n        the domestic transportation industry is now enjoying tight capacity, holding rates\r\n        firm and profitable while the overall US economy has shown signs of stalling.\r\n    </p>\r\n    <p>\r\n        In the past, it would be easy to associate a slow economy with a great time to renegotiate\r\n        with the carriers. This isn’t necessarily the case right now but the pendulum may\r\n        be swinging back in the shippers’ favor.\r\n    </p>\";s:6:\"teaser\";s:215:\"    <hr style=\"margin-right: 100px;\" />\r\n    <h1>\r\n        How Can Domestic Transportation Capacity Be So Tight While The Economy Is Sluggish?</h1>\r\n    <p>\r\n        By Scott J. 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McDevitt, TLI Founder &amp; CEO</p>\r\n<p>\r\n	From industry events to client visits, one question keeps popping up: &ldquo;Why do we keep hearing about capacity being so tight while the economy is so soft?&rdquo; I&rsquo;ve been in this industry for over 23 years including three recessions and an incredible run in the 90&rsquo;s and early/mid 2000&rsquo;s. It was always the case that when the economy was doing great, transportation was doing great. When the economy was slowing down or stopped, so, too, was the transportation industry. Now, transportation is doing great while the economy has stalled. Why&hellip;?</p>\r\n<p>\r\n	<b>Let&rsquo;s first look at the numbers:</b></p>\r\n<p>\r\n	1) Freight TSI (Transportation Services Index) - a seasonally adjusted index measuring ton-miles carried by for-hire trucking, rail, inland waterways, pipelines, and air freight carriers. Released by the Transportation Department</p>\r\n<ul>\r\n	<li>\r\n		June- 108.3 July- 108.3 August &ndash; 108.7</li>\r\n	<li>\r\n		The highest reading since July of 2008</li>\r\n	<li>\r\n		Peak was 113.3 January of 2005</li>\r\n</ul>\r\n<p>\r\n	2) Truck Tonnage- (Year 2000 is baseline of 100)</p>\r\n<ul>\r\n	<li>\r\n		The ATA&rsquo;s not seasonally-adjusted (NSA) index, which represents the change in tonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, was at 123.8 in August, well ahead of July&rsquo;s 111 and in line with June&rsquo;s 122.3. The August 2010 NSA index was 113.5, putting the August 2011 NSA up by 9.4 percent.</li>\r\n	<li>\r\n		September- The not seasonally adjusted index, which measures actual tonnage slipped 3.1% to a reading of 119.5.</li>\r\n</ul>\r\n<p>\r\n	3) September Purchasing Managers Index- (over 50 is growing)</p>\r\n<ul>\r\n	<li>\r\n		PMI = 51.6 &ldquo;Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September for the 26th consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 28th consecutive month.&rdquo; Sluggish, but growing&hellip;</li>\r\n	<li>\r\n		Previous report was 50.6, May 53.5, June 55.3, July 50.9</li>\r\n</ul>\r\n<p>\r\n	4) Consumer Confidence</p>\r\n<ul>\r\n	<li>\r\n		Declined sharply in August, remained essentially unchanged in September. The Index now stands at 45.4 (1985=100), up slightly from 45.2 in August.</li>\r\n	<li>\r\n		Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: &ldquo;The pessimism that shrouded consumers last month has spilled over into September. Consumer expectations, which had plummeted in August, posted a marginal gain. However, consumers expressed greater concern about their expected earnings, a sign that does not bode well for spending. In addition, consumers&rsquo; assessment of current conditions declined for the fifth consecutive month, a sign that the economic environment remains weak.&rdquo;</li>\r\n</ul>\r\n<p>\r\n	5) Compared to a year ago diesel prices are up .749 cents. $ 3.83/gallon as of 9/27/11.</p>\r\n<p>\r\n	6) Cass Index- Measures trends in North American shipping activity based on $17 billion in paid freight expenses of more than a hundred of America&rsquo;s largest shippers</p>\r\n<ul>\r\n	<li>\r\n		September shipments at 1.200 were up 5.0 percent compared to August. They were up 7.5 percent compared to September 2010.</li>\r\n	<li>\r\n		September expenditures at 2.388 were up 4.6 percent compared to August and up 17.6 percent compared to last year, which is roughly half of what annual expenditures comparisons have been in previous months prior to August, which was up 15.8 percent annually, with January through July averaging 30.9 percent annual increases for expenditures.</li>\r\n</ul>\r\n<!--  <dl>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>1) Freight TSI (Transportation Services Index) - a seasonally adjusted index measuring\r\n            ton-miles carried by for-hire trucking, rail, inland waterways, pipelines, and air\r\n            freight carriers. Released by the Transportation Department</p></dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p> June- 108.3 July- 108.3 August – 108.7</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The highest reading since July of 2008</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Peak was 113.3 January of 2005</p></dd>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>2) Truck Tonnage- (Year 2000 is baseline of 100)</p></dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The ATA&rsquo;s not seasonally-adjusted (NSA) index, which represents the change in\r\n            tonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, was at 123.8 in\r\n            August, well ahead of July&rsquo;s 111 and in line with June&rsquo;s 122.3. The August 2010\r\n            NSA index was 113.5, putting the August 2011 NSA up by 9.4 percent.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September- The not seasonally adjusted index, which measures actual tonnage slipped\r\n            3.1% to a reading of 119.5.</p></dd>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>3) September Purchasing Managers Index- (over 50 is growing)</p></dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- PMI = 51.6 &ldquo;Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September\r\n            for the 26th consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 28th consecutive\r\n            month.&rdquo; Sluggish, but growing…</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Previous report was 50.6, May 53.5, June 55.3, July 50.9</p></dd>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>4) Consumer Confidence</p></dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Declined sharply in August, remained essentially unchanged in September. The Index\r\n            now stands at 45.4 (1985=100), up slightly from 45.2 in August.</p>\r\n        </dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: &ldquo;The\r\n            pessimism that shrouded consumers last month has spilled over into September. Consumer\r\n            expectations, which had plummeted in August, posted a marginal gain. However, consumers\r\n            expressed greater concern about their expected earnings, a sign that does not bode\r\n            well for spending. In addition, consumers&rsquo; assessment of current conditions declined\r\n            for the fifth consecutive month, a sign that the economic environment remains weak.&rdquo;</p></dd>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>5) Compared to a year ago diesel prices are up .749 cents. $ 3.83/gallon as of 9/27/11.</p></dt>\r\n\r\n        <dt><p>6) Cass Index- Measures trends in North American shipping activity based on $17\r\n            billion in paid freight expenses of more than a hundred of America&rsquo;s largest shippers</p></dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September shipments at 1.200 were up 5.0 percent compared to August. They were\r\n            up 7.5 percent compared to September 2010.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September expenditures at 2.388 were up 4.6 percent compared to August and up\r\n            17.6 percent compared to last year, which is roughly half of what annual expenditures\r\n            comparisons have been in previous months prior to August, which was up 15.8 percent\r\n            annually, with January through July averaging 30.9 percent annual increases for\r\n            expenditures.</p></dd>\r\n  \r\n    </dl>--><p>\r\n	After reading the various indexes, it is easy to conclude that the economy looks to be doing better. However, Cass&rsquo; conclusion is that &ldquo;This however, does not suggest the beginning of a trend towards more positive economic growth. There are still key factors influencing our economy: projected 2011 GDP of roughly 2% or less for the next year; and stalled consumer confidence and consumer spending levels.&rdquo;</p>\r\n<p>\r\n	Transport Capital Partners&rsquo; latest report stated, &ldquo;more carrier executives aren&rsquo;t as optimistic about the economy rebounding and increasing rates.&rdquo; Its third quarter survey of fleets&rsquo; business expectations shows declining confidence in business conditions: 45% expect volumes to rise from 80% in the second quarter. It was 92% in the first quarter.&rdquo;</p>\r\n<p>\r\n	So how can we see positive indicators (sluggish but still positive) and hear reports weekly about how tight capacity is in the TL and LTL domestic market while more carrier executives are saying they aren&rsquo;t as optimistic about the economy rebounding?</p>\r\n<p>\r\n	The answer lies in the change in America from predominantly manufacturing (still growing slowly) to predominantly service (contracting). 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McDevitt, TLI Founder &amp; CEO</p>\r\n<p>\r\n	From industry events to client visits, one question keeps popping up: &ldquo;Why do we keep hearing about capacity being so tight while the economy is so soft?&rdquo; I&rsquo;ve been in this industry for over 23 years including three recessions and an incredible run in the 90&rsquo;s and early/mid 2000&rsquo;s. It was always the case that when the economy was doing great, transportation was doing great. When the economy was slowing down or stopped, so, too, was the transportation industry. Now, transportation is doing great while the economy has stalled. Why&hellip;?</p>\r\n<p>\r\n	<b>Let&rsquo;s first look at the numbers:</b></p>\r\n<p>\r\n	1) Freight TSI (Transportation Services Index) - a seasonally adjusted index measuring ton-miles carried by for-hire trucking, rail, inland waterways, pipelines, and air freight carriers. Released by the Transportation Department</p>\r\n<ul>\r\n	<li>\r\n		June- 108.3 July- 108.3 August &ndash; 108.7</li>\r\n	<li>\r\n		The highest reading since July of 2008</li>\r\n	<li>\r\n		Peak was 113.3 January of 2005</li>\r\n</ul>\r\n<p>\r\n	2) Truck Tonnage- (Year 2000 is baseline of 100)</p>\r\n<ul>\r\n	<li>\r\n		The ATA&rsquo;s not seasonally-adjusted (NSA) index, which represents the change in tonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, was at 123.8 in August, well ahead of July&rsquo;s 111 and in line with June&rsquo;s 122.3. The August 2010 NSA index was 113.5, putting the August 2011 NSA up by 9.4 percent.</li>\r\n	<li>\r\n		September- The not seasonally adjusted index, which measures actual tonnage slipped 3.1% to a reading of 119.5.</li>\r\n</ul>\r\n<p>\r\n	3) September Purchasing Managers Index- (over 50 is growing)</p>\r\n<ul>\r\n	<li>\r\n		PMI = 51.6 &ldquo;Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September for the 26th consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 28th consecutive month.&rdquo; Sluggish, but growing&hellip;</li>\r\n	<li>\r\n		Previous report was 50.6, May 53.5, June 55.3, July 50.9</li>\r\n</ul>\r\n<p>\r\n	4) Consumer Confidence</p>\r\n<ul>\r\n	<li>\r\n		Declined sharply in August, remained essentially unchanged in September. The Index now stands at 45.4 (1985=100), up slightly from 45.2 in August.</li>\r\n	<li>\r\n		Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: &ldquo;The pessimism that shrouded consumers last month has spilled over into September. Consumer expectations, which had plummeted in August, posted a marginal gain. However, consumers expressed greater concern about their expected earnings, a sign that does not bode well for spending. In addition, consumers&rsquo; assessment of current conditions declined for the fifth consecutive month, a sign that the economic environment remains weak.&rdquo;</li>\r\n</ul>\r\n<p>\r\n	5) Compared to a year ago diesel prices are up .749 cents. $ 3.83/gallon as of 9/27/11.</p>\r\n<p>\r\n	6) Cass Index- Measures trends in North American shipping activity based on $17 billion in paid freight expenses of more than a hundred of America&rsquo;s largest shippers</p>\r\n<ul>\r\n	<li>\r\n		September shipments at 1.200 were up 5.0 percent compared to August. They were up 7.5 percent compared to September 2010.</li>\r\n	<li>\r\n		September expenditures at 2.388 were up 4.6 percent compared to August and up 17.6 percent compared to last year, which is roughly half of what annual expenditures comparisons have been in previous months prior to August, which was up 15.8 percent annually, with January through July averaging 30.9 percent annual increases for expenditures.</li>\r\n</ul>\r\n<!--  <dl>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>1) Freight TSI (Transportation Services Index) - a seasonally adjusted index measuring\r\n            ton-miles carried by for-hire trucking, rail, inland waterways, pipelines, and air\r\n            freight carriers. Released by the Transportation Department</p></dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p> June- 108.3 July- 108.3 August – 108.7</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The highest reading since July of 2008</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Peak was 113.3 January of 2005</p></dd>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>2) Truck Tonnage- (Year 2000 is baseline of 100)</p></dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- The ATA&rsquo;s not seasonally-adjusted (NSA) index, which represents the change in\r\n            tonnage actually hauled by fleets before any seasonal adjustment, was at 123.8 in\r\n            August, well ahead of July&rsquo;s 111 and in line with June&rsquo;s 122.3. The August 2010\r\n            NSA index was 113.5, putting the August 2011 NSA up by 9.4 percent.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September- The not seasonally adjusted index, which measures actual tonnage slipped\r\n            3.1% to a reading of 119.5.</p></dd>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>3) September Purchasing Managers Index- (over 50 is growing)</p></dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- PMI = 51.6 &ldquo;Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September\r\n            for the 26th consecutive month, and the overall economy grew for the 28th consecutive\r\n            month.&rdquo; Sluggish, but growing…</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Previous report was 50.6, May 53.5, June 55.3, July 50.9</p></dd>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>4) Consumer Confidence</p></dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Declined sharply in August, remained essentially unchanged in September. The Index\r\n            now stands at 45.4 (1985=100), up slightly from 45.2 in August.</p>\r\n        </dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: &ldquo;The\r\n            pessimism that shrouded consumers last month has spilled over into September. Consumer\r\n            expectations, which had plummeted in August, posted a marginal gain. However, consumers\r\n            expressed greater concern about their expected earnings, a sign that does not bode\r\n            well for spending. In addition, consumers&rsquo; assessment of current conditions declined\r\n            for the fifth consecutive month, a sign that the economic environment remains weak.&rdquo;</p></dd>\r\n        \r\n        <dt><p>5) Compared to a year ago diesel prices are up .749 cents. $ 3.83/gallon as of 9/27/11.</p></dt>\r\n\r\n        <dt><p>6) Cass Index- Measures trends in North American shipping activity based on $17\r\n            billion in paid freight expenses of more than a hundred of America&rsquo;s largest shippers</p></dt>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September shipments at 1.200 were up 5.0 percent compared to August. They were\r\n            up 7.5 percent compared to September 2010.</p></dd>\r\n        <dd>\r\n            <p>- September expenditures at 2.388 were up 4.6 percent compared to August and up\r\n            17.6 percent compared to last year, which is roughly half of what annual expenditures\r\n            comparisons have been in previous months prior to August, which was up 15.8 percent\r\n            annually, with January through July averaging 30.9 percent annual increases for\r\n            expenditures.</p></dd>\r\n  \r\n    </dl>--><p>\r\n	After reading the various indexes, it is easy to conclude that the economy looks to be doing better. However, Cass&rsquo; conclusion is that &ldquo;This however, does not suggest the beginning of a trend towards more positive economic growth. There are still key factors influencing our economy: projected 2011 GDP of roughly 2% or less for the next year; and stalled consumer confidence and consumer spending levels.&rdquo;</p>\r\n<p>\r\n	Transport Capital Partners&rsquo; latest report stated, &ldquo;more carrier executives aren&rsquo;t as optimistic about the economy rebounding and increasing rates.&rdquo; Its third quarter survey of fleets&rsquo; business expectations shows declining confidence in business conditions: 45% expect volumes to rise from 80% in the second quarter. It was 92% in the first quarter.&rdquo;</p>\r\n<p>\r\n	So how can we see positive indicators (sluggish but still positive) and hear reports weekly about how tight capacity is in the TL and LTL domestic market while more carrier executives are saying they aren&rsquo;t as optimistic about the economy rebounding?</p>\r\n<p>\r\n	The answer lies in the change in America from predominantly manufacturing (still growing slowly) to predominantly service (contracting). Since manufacturing is now the smaller of the two and directly affects transportation, the transportation indexes continue to show improvement month over month while the overall economy is showing continued high unemployment, low consumer confidence, and lower confidence by business executives.</p>\r\n<p>\r\n	In other words, because manufacturing has continued to grow and transportation capacity has shrunk due to carrier bankruptcies and downsizing throughout the recession, the domestic transportation industry is now enjoying tight capacity, holding rates firm and profitable while the overall US economy has shown signs of stalling.</p>\r\n<p>\r\n	In the past, it would be easy to associate a slow economy with a great time to renegotiate with the carriers. 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