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Program Risk Analysis

Challenge: How can you better predict and manage risks to program delivery?

	Collect, analyze, and disseminate programmatic data quickly
	Anticipate risks to program execution before they occur
	Provide leadership with accurate forecasts of program health

Our predictive analytics provide advance insights into potential program deficiencies and their impacts

	A proven cross-functional process framework promotes broad participation and consensus
	Predictive analytics employ proven metrics that point to root causes
	Automated data collection and reporting eases implementation burdens
	Interactive dashboards enable “what-if” drills to quickly test potential scenarios
	A focused set of options drives key program cost/schedule/performance risk mitigation actions

Advance insights into risks help you build practical mitigation plans to head off adverse consequences

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Example: Navy ASN(RDA): Probability of Program Success (PoPS) and the Program Gate Review Process

Challenge: Forecast and avert program risks, lacking effective and consistent enterprise metrics, analytics, and reporting
Solution: Our staff members developed an analytically-sound, data-driven approach for evaluating all Naval programs for risks. This tailored “PoPS” process and tool is now integrated into the Navy leadership’s Program Gate Review process.
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*The Federal Acquisition Regulation directs agencies, when considering contracting with a business, to consider past performance information associated with key personnel who have relevant experience. Even if a new small business has minimal direct experience, it may still receive past performance credit for the key employees it proposes to use in the performance of a contract. Our Decision Forge staff – both individually and collectively – have deep experience of central relevance to each of our featured capability areas.